TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086911
Played Sep 7Finished
Josef Medek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113119711115711
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Medek to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Josef Medek at 58.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Josef Medek 134–92 Jan Zajicek Jan Zajicek has won 92 of their 226 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
134-92 in 226
Medek
Wrong
gap of 42 in 226, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Medek 2000 vs Zajicek 1828
Medek
Wrong
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Medek 80% vs Zajicek 60%
Medek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Medek 80% vs Zajicek 40%
Medek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Medek +3 · Zajicek -2
Medek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Medek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 1.83 / Zajicek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Medek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086911
Medek1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Zajicek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMedek8wins
AwayZajicek2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMedek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek100%5 of 5
AwayZajicek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek5Zajicek5n = 10split evenly
S2Medek7Zajicek3n = 10Medek took 7 of 10
S3Medek8Zajicek2n = 10Medek took 8 of 10
S4Medek4Zajicek1n = 5Medek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMedekZajicekM − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.030.2+6.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 522 vs 348 / 65657.9%53.1%302 / 522 vs 348 / 656Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekMedek 1.83/Zajicek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—5690
LSep 5 · 14:30J. Medek—9811121J. Zajicek—11116143
WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—9970
WSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek—61111113J. Zajicek—117671
WSep 2 · 18:00J. Medek—51112113J. Zajicek—1191091
WAug 26 · 21:00J. Medek—981211133J. Zajicek—1111104112
WAug 26 · 18:30J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—5850
WAug 25 · 18:30J. Medek—11118113J. Zajicek—431161
WAug 25 · 14:00J. Medek—1111113J. Zajicek—9850
LAug 11 · 21:30J. Medek—81080J. Zajicek—1112113
J. Medek10
WSep 7 · 15:30J. Vales2.7511139562J. Medek1.406111111113WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690WSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113WSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750LSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113WSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113WSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113
J. Zajicek10
LSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113
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