TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087562
Played Sep 7Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191210711811811
Vojtech Koubek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 62.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 33–23 Vojtech Koubek Vojtech Koubek has won 23 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zajicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-23 in 56
Zajicek
Wrong
gap of 10 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1844 vs Koubek 1908
Koubek
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 60% vs Koubek 80%
Koubek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 50% vs Koubek 80%
Koubek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek +1 · Koubek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.44 / Koubek 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Zajicek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087562
Zajicek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 105 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 83 of 98
Koubek2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek8wins
AwayKoubek2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek87.5%7 of 8
AwayKoubekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek8Koubek2n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S2Zajicek8Koubek2n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S3Zajicek7Koubek3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S4Zajicek2Koubek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekKoubekZ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.628.0+8.6per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 653 vs 190 / 36953%51.5%346 / 653 vs 190 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekZajicek 1.44/Koubek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 16:59J. Zajicek—1111113V. Koubek—9790
WAug 25 · 16:30J. Zajicek—1112163V. Koubek—410140
WAug 11 · 20:30J. Zajicek—1211123V. Koubek—102100
WJun 23 · 17:30J. Zajicek—1311113V. Koubek—11660
WJun 23 · 15:30J. Zajicek—911811113V. Koubek—11611122
WJun 2 · 14:30J. Zajicek—11311113V. Koubek—411861
WMay 31 · 21:09J. Zajicek—1112113V. Koubek—61060
WMay 31 · 19:00J. Zajicek—1111113V. Koubek—7460
LMay 24 · 14:30J. Zajicek—117781V. Koubek—81111113
LMay 24 · 11:30J. Zajicek—11116101V. Koubek—13611123
J. Zajicek10
WSep 7 · 16:30J. Zajicek1.4011119133J. Vales2.753911111WSep 7 · 14:00J. Medek1.83111171172J. Zajicek1.83139115113LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100
V. Koubek10
WSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143WSep 7 · 14:30V. Koubek2.2011125113J. Vales1.616101161WSep 1 · 17:30V. Koubek1.6861111123E. Mares1.941188101LSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:00E. Mares2.101051181V. Koubek1.6712119113WSep 1 · 14:28V. Koubek2.6311116113J. Medek1.44681141WAug 31 · 17:30E. Mares2.104117101V. Koubek1.6511911123WAug 31 · 16:00V. Koubek1.4011115113J. Kycelt2.75141171WAug 31 · 15:30J. Nesnera2.3813670V. Koubek1.531511113LAug 31 · 14:00V. Koubek1.736740E. Mares2.001111113
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