TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053044
Played Sep 1Finished
Martin Parzhizek
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111161141012119
Vojtech Koubek
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Parzhizek to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Parzhizek above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Martin Parzhizek at 73.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Martin Parzhizek 8–1 Vojtech Koubek Vojtech Koubek has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:57What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Parzhizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Parzhizek
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parzhizek 1928 vs Koubek 1893
Parzhizek
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parzhizek 60% vs Koubek 100%
Koubek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parzhizek 40% vs Koubek 90%
Koubek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parzhizek +1 · Koubek +5
Koubek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Parzhizek) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParzhizek 1.33 / Koubek 3.25
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Parzhizek)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13053044
Parzhizek1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 23 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Koubek3.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog37% won 29 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back16% 7 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeParzhizek8wins
AwayKoubek1wins
3 of 9 to a deciderParzhizek leads 8–1, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParzhizek100%4 of 4
AwayKoubek20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parzhizek4Koubek5n = 9Koubek took 5 of 9
S2Parzhizek6Koubek3n = 9Parzhizek took 6 of 9
S3Parzhizek5Koubek4n = 9Parzhizek took 5 of 9
S4Parzhizek6Koubek0n = 6Parzhizek took 6 of 6
S5Parzhizek3Koubek0n = 3Parzhizek took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricParzhizekKoubekP − KBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.735.0+5.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParzhizekKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 82 vs 188 / 36663.4%51.4%52 / 82 vs 188 / 366Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParzhizekParzhizek 1.33/Koubek 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Parzhizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Parzhizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 12 · 19:30M. Parzhizek—1211711123V. Koubek—146119102
LAug 11 · 21:00M. Parzhizek—10880V. Koubek—1211113
WAug 11 · 19:30M. Parzhizek—311811133V. Koubek—115119112
WApr 28 · 17:30M. Parzhizek—1112123V. Koubek—610100
WApr 28 · 15:30M. Parzhizek—671111123V. Koubek—111139102
WApr 27 · 16:00M. Parzhizek—12711113V. Koubek—1011471
WMar 22 · 17:00M. Parzhizek—11119113V. Koubek—961141
WFeb 24 · 17:00M. Parzhizek—1111113V. Koubek—6430
WMar 5 · 15:30M. Parzhizek—61115113V. Koubek—1171381
M. Parzhizek10
WSep 2 · 20:58J. Zajicek2.2011560M. Parzhizek1.611311113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Medek1.7311116113M. Parzhizek2.00781181LSep 2 · 19:00J. Zajicek2.2511117113M. Parzhizek1.57771121WSep 2 · 18:30M. Parzhizek1.6131111113E. Mares2.20118891LSep 1 · 17:00M. Parzhizek1.916911101J. Medek1.8011115123WSep 1 · 15:30J. Medek1.731012791M. Parzhizek2.00121011113LSep 1 · 14:00M. Parzhizek1.5356110E. Mares2.381111133LAug 19 · 21:30M. Parzhizek1.3311111015102E. Mares2.80691217123WAug 19 · 20:00M. Parzhizek1.5711116163E. Mares2.256911141WAug 19 · 19:30L. Prikasky2.635118101M. Parzhizek1.4411611123
V. Koubek10
WSep 1 · 17:30V. Koubek1.6861111123E. Mares1.941188101WSep 1 · 15:00E. Mares2.101051181V. Koubek1.6712119113WSep 1 · 14:28V. Koubek2.6311116113J. Medek1.44681141WAug 31 · 17:30E. Mares2.104117101V. Koubek1.6511911123WAug 31 · 16:00V. Koubek1.4011115113J. Kycelt2.75141171WAug 31 · 15:30J. Nesnera2.3813670V. Koubek1.531511113LAug 31 · 14:00V. Koubek1.736740E. Mares2.001111113WAug 27 · 17:28V. Koubek1.6711139113E. Mares2.107111191WAug 27 · 16:00E. Mares1.7381111101V. Koubek2.0011136123WAug 27 · 15:00J. Kanera2.506390V. Koubek1.501111113
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