TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059160
Played Sep 2Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117711112––
Martin Parzhizek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Martin Parzhizek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 67 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 5–11 Martin Parzhizek Jan Zajicek has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:04What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Parzhizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-11 in 16
Parzhizek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1907 vs Parzhizek 1947
Parzhizek
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 80% vs Parzhizek 60%
Zajicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 50% vs Parzhizek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek -1 · Parzhizek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Parzhizek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 2.25 / Parzhizek 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Parzhizek)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13059160
Zajicek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Parzhizek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek3wins
AwayParzhizek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderParzhizek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek33.3%1 of 3
AwayParzhizek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek3Parzhizek7n = 10Parzhizek took 7 of 10
S2Zajicek4Parzhizek6n = 10Parzhizek took 6 of 10
S3Zajicek4Parzhizek6n = 10Parzhizek took 6 of 10
S4Zajicek3Parzhizek5n = 8Parzhizek took 5 of 8
S5Zajicek2Parzhizek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekParzhizekZ − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.742.1−5.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekParzhizekBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 649 vs 54 / 8553.2%63.5%345 / 649 vs 54 / 85Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParzhizekZajicek 2.25/Parzhizek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Parzhizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 16:00J. Zajicek—511991M. Parzhizek—11811113
WAug 11 · 18:00J. Zajicek—61111113M. Parzhizek—118791
LJul 31 · 19:00J. Zajicek—71170M. Parzhizek—1113113
LJul 21 · 21:28J. Zajicek—117731M. Parzhizek—41111113
LJul 21 · 20:30J. Zajicek—71111892M. Parzhizek—115911113
WJul 20 · 19:30J. Zajicek—511411163M. Parzhizek—117117142
WJul 16 · 20:58J. Zajicek—118114113M. Parzhizek—61191192
LJul 16 · 20:00J. Zajicek—86131192M. Parzhizek—1111119113
LApr 28 · 16:00J. Zajicek—118781M. Parzhizek—91111113
LApr 14 · 15:00J. Zajicek—38110M. Parzhizek—1111133
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671
M. Parzhizek10
WSep 2 · 20:58J. Zajicek2.2011560M. Parzhizek1.611311113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Medek1.7311116113M. Parzhizek2.00781181WSep 2 · 18:30M. Parzhizek1.6131111113E. Mares2.20118891LSep 1 · 17:00M. Parzhizek1.916911101J. Medek1.8011115123WSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:30J. Medek1.731012791M. Parzhizek2.00121011113LSep 1 · 14:00M. Parzhizek1.5356110E. Mares2.381111133LAug 19 · 21:30M. Parzhizek1.3311111015102E. Mares2.80691217123WAug 19 · 20:00M. Parzhizek1.5711116163E. Mares2.256911141WAug 19 · 19:30L. Prikasky2.635118101M. Parzhizek1.4411611123
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