TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12462420
Played Aug 19Finished
Martin Parzhizek
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116119101215171012
Erik Mares
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Parzhizek to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Parzhizek above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 15-17
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 113 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Martin Parzhizek at 68.8%
113 points played in total.
H2H Martin Parzhizek 4–4 Erik Mares Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:21What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (68%)
Parzhizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parzhizek 1945 vs Mares 1880
Parzhizek
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parzhizek 60% vs Mares 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parzhizek 50% vs Mares 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Parzhizek +2 · Mares -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Parzhizek) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParzhizek 1.33 / Mares 2.80
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Parzhizek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12462420
Parzhizek1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Mares2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 87 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back28% 27 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeParzhizek4wins
AwayMares4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParzhizek60%3 of 5
AwayMares66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parzhizek5Mares3n = 8Parzhizek took 5 of 8
S2Parzhizek4Mares4n = 8split evenly
S3Parzhizek2Mares6n = 8Mares took 6 of 8
S4Parzhizek4Mares2n = 6Parzhizek took 4 of 6
S5Parzhizek2Mares2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricParzhizekMaresP − MBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match37.138.9−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParzhizekMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 80 vs 585 / 115463.8%50.7%51 / 80 vs 585 / 1154Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParzhizekParzhizek 1.33/Mares 2.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.8%
Parzhizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 19 · 21:30M. Parzhizek—11111015102E. Mares—691217123
WAug 19 · 20:00M. Parzhizek—11116163E. Mares—6911141
WAug 26 · 19:00M. Parzhizek—1111113E. Mares—5370
LAug 22 · 09:30M. Parzhizek—11631182E. Mares—711118113
WAug 22 · 07:30M. Parzhizek—111911113E. Mares—81111652
LJun 14 · 20:00M. Parzhizek—611711E. Mares—11711113
LApr 18 · 21:30M. Parzhizek—4620E. Mares—1111113
WApr 18 · 18:30M. Parzhizek—661111103E. Mares—11114752
M. Parzhizek10
WSep 2 · 20:58J. Zajicek2.2011560M. Parzhizek1.611311113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Medek1.7311116113M. Parzhizek2.00781181LSep 2 · 19:00J. Zajicek2.2511117113M. Parzhizek1.57771121WSep 2 · 18:30M. Parzhizek1.6131111113E. Mares2.20118891LSep 1 · 17:00M. Parzhizek1.916911101J. Medek1.8011115123WSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:30J. Medek1.731012791M. Parzhizek2.00121011113LSep 1 · 14:00M. Parzhizek1.5356110E. Mares2.381111133WAug 19 · 20:00M. Parzhizek1.5711116163E. Mares2.256911141WAug 19 · 19:30L. Prikasky2.635118101M. Parzhizek1.4411611123
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 2 · 18:30M. Parzhizek1.6131111113E. Mares2.20118891WSep 1 · 14:00M. Parzhizek1.5356110E. Mares2.381111133LAug 19 · 20:00M. Parzhizek1.5711116163E. Mares2.256911141
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