TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020954
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611311911––––
Vojtech Koubek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Koubek at 63.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 5–12 Vojtech Koubek Jan Kanera has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Koubek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Koubek
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1760 vs Koubek 1803
Koubek
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 80% vs Koubek 20%
Kanera
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 70% vs Koubek 40%
Kanera
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera +2 · Koubek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Koubek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 2.50 / Koubek 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Koubek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020954
Kanera2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back15% 5 of 34
Koubek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 33 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera4wins
AwayKoubek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKoubek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera60%3 of 5
AwayKoubek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera5Koubek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanera5Koubek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kanera2Koubek8n = 10Koubek took 8 of 10
S4Kanera3Koubek6n = 9Koubek took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraKoubekKanera − KoubekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.640.0−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 585 vs 180 / 35747.2%50.4%276 / 585 vs 180 / 357Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekKanera 2.50/Koubek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LFeb 1 · 11:30J. Kanera—211961V. Koubek—11811113
LJan 30 · 16:00J. Kanera—111581V. Koubek—71111113
LJan 14 · 18:30J. Kanera—761151V. Koubek—11119113
WJan 14 · 15:30J. Kanera—1111611113V. Koubek—97111382
WNov 22 · 14:30J. Kanera—11117133V. Koubek—6611111
LNov 22 · 12:00J. Kanera—741171V. Koubek—11116113
WNov 9 · 10:30J. Kanera—612811123V. Koubek—1110118102
LNov 9 · 08:30J. Kanera—71090V. Koubek—1112113
LOct 6 · 14:30J. Kanera—117751V. Koubek—91111113
WSep 13 · 15:30J. Kanera—1111883V. Koubek—771151
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292
V. Koubek10
WSep 1 · 17:30V. Koubek1.6861111123E. Mares1.941188101LSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:00E. Mares2.101051181V. Koubek1.6712119113WSep 1 · 14:28V. Koubek2.6311116113J. Medek1.44681141WAug 31 · 17:30E. Mares2.104117101V. Koubek1.6511911123WAug 31 · 16:00V. Koubek1.4011115113J. Kycelt2.75141171WAug 31 · 15:30J. Nesnera2.3813670V. Koubek1.531511113LAug 31 · 14:00V. Koubek1.736740E. Mares2.001111113WAug 27 · 17:28V. Koubek1.6711139113E. Mares2.107111191WAug 27 · 16:00E. Mares1.7381111101V. Koubek2.0011136123
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