TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048035
Played Aug 31Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111114511117––
Jakub Kycelt
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:12 and never touched — 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 61 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Koubek at 67.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 2–0 Jakub Kycelt Jakub Kycelt has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Koubek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Koubek 1824 vs Kycelt 1770
Koubek
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koubek 80% vs Kycelt 20%
Koubek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koubek 50% vs Kycelt 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koubek +1 · Kycelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Koubek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 1.40 / Kycelt 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Koubek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048035
Koubek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Kycelt2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 51 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKoubek2wins
AwayKycelt0wins
Koubek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKoubekKyceltKoubek − KyceltBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.529.5+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 362 vs 149 / 29950.8%49.8%184 / 362 vs 149 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekKoubek 1.40/Kycelt 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koubek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 23 · 14:30V. Koubek—11913113J. Kycelt—5111171
WOct 10 · 06:30V. Koubek—1111133J. Kycelt—86110
V. Koubek10
WSep 1 · 17:30V. Koubek1.6861111123E. Mares1.941188101LSep 1 · 16:00M. Parzhizek1.337111110113V. Koubek3.2511641292WSep 1 · 15:00E. Mares2.101051181V. Koubek1.6712119113WSep 1 · 14:28V. Koubek2.6311116113J. Medek1.44681141WAug 31 · 17:30E. Mares2.104117101V. Koubek1.6511911123WAug 31 · 15:30J. Nesnera2.3813670V. Koubek1.531511113LAug 31 · 14:00V. Koubek1.736740E. Mares2.001111113WAug 27 · 17:28V. Koubek1.6711139113E. Mares2.107111191WAug 27 · 16:00E. Mares1.7381111101V. Koubek2.0011136123WAug 27 · 15:00J. Kanera2.506390V. Koubek1.501111113
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113
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