TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091708
Played Sep 8Finished
Lukas Jindrak
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13111012611711––
Michal Zahradka
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 19–16 Michal Zahradka Michal Zahradka has won 16 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:56What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jindrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-16 in 35
Jindrak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 1947 vs Zahradka 1833
Jindrak
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 40% vs Zahradka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 40% vs Zahradka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak -1 · Zahradka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jindrak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 1.57 / Zahradka 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Jindrak)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091708
Jindrak1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 85 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 58 of 73
Zahradka2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 82 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJindrak6wins
AwayZahradka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrak66.7%4 of 6
AwayZahradka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak6Zahradka4n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S2Jindrak7Zahradka3n = 10Jindrak took 7 of 10
S3Jindrak4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Jindrak6Zahradka2n = 8Jindrak took 6 of 8
S5Jindrak1Zahradka2n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJindrakZahradkaJ − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.339.1+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 438 vs 441 / 90455%48.8%241 / 438 vs 441 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakJindrak 1.57/Zahradka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 14 · 11:30L. Jindrak—81111113M. Zahradka—119671
LMay 4 · 10:30L. Jindrak—7136111M. Zahradka—111111133
WFeb 5 · 17:00L. Jindrak—1111113M. Zahradka—6390
LJan 28 · 12:30L. Jindrak—1114991M. Zahradka—81611113
LDec 14 · 11:30L. Jindrak—11441192M. Zahradka—811117113
WOct 20 · 16:30L. Jindrak—1111113M. Zahradka—8790
WOct 20 · 13:30L. Jindrak—11113113M. Zahradka—671161
LOct 20 · 11:00L. Jindrak—111171382M. Zahradka—1371111113
WSep 28 · 17:00L. Jindrak—117916113M. Zahradka—811111472
WSep 28 · 16:30L. Jindrak—71118113M. Zahradka—1181671
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680LSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450
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