TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087576
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11791110121210811
Michal Zahradka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kycelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 101 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 5–8 Michal Zahradka Jakub Kycelt has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kycelt beat Zahradka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kycelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1820 vs Zahradka 1829
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 60% vs Zahradka 40%
Kycelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 60% vs Zahradka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt +2 · Zahradka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.67 / Zahradka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kycelt)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087576
Kycelt1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Zahradka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 81 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKycelt5wins
AwayZahradka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt83.3%5 of 6
AwayZahradka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt6Zahradka4n = 10Kycelt took 6 of 10
S2Kycelt4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Kycelt5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S4Kycelt5Zahradka1n = 6Kycelt took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyceltZahradkaK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.835.4+0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 320 vs 440 / 90250%48.8%160 / 320 vs 440 / 902Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltKycelt 1.67/Zahradka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 14:30J. Kycelt—11611113M. Zahradka—511991
WMay 26 · 23:30J. Kycelt—11117113M. Zahradka—781181
WMay 21 · 13:30J. Kycelt—1111113M. Zahradka—5870
LMay 21 · 12:30J. Kycelt—41191162M. Zahradka—118118113
LMay 14 · 10:30J. Kycelt—61180M. Zahradka—1113113
WMay 14 · 06:30J. Kycelt—1111113M. Zahradka—5590
LMar 12 · 21:00J. Kycelt—11981172M. Zahradka—611115113
WSep 19 · 08:30J. Kycelt—13611113M. Zahradka—1111991
LJun 6 · 15:00J. Kycelt—1591121M. Zahradka—17117113
LJun 5 · 13:00J. Kycelt—6890M. Zahradka—1111113
J. Kycelt10
WSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750LSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101WSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780
M. Zahradka10
WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.