TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087408
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711113611117117
Petr Bradach
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Petr Bradach below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 14–6 Petr Bradach Petr Bradach has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:49What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-6 in 20
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1829 vs Bradach 1862
Bradach
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 20% vs Bradach 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 40% vs Bradach 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -3 · Bradach -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bradach form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.57 / Bradach 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Zahradka)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087408
Zahradka1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 103 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 72 of 90
Bradach2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 24 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka6wins
AwayBradach4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBradach37.5%3 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka2Bradach8n = 10Bradach took 8 of 10
S2Zahradka7Bradach3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S3Zahradka4Bradach6n = 10Bradach took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka5Bradach2n = 7Zahradka took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaBradachZ − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.935.5+0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaBradachBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 902 vs 128 / 23548.8%54.5%440 / 902 vs 128 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.57/Bradach 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka—711611113P. Bradach—11311772
WMay 7 · 21:28M. Zahradka—5111011113P. Bradach—11912992
WMay 7 · 20:00M. Zahradka—111111113P. Bradach—139651
LMay 4 · 20:00M. Zahradka—5950P. Bradach—1111113
LFeb 24 · 18:30M. Zahradka—1151041P. Bradach—81112113
WFeb 24 · 17:30M. Zahradka—1411113P. Bradach—12870
WFeb 5 · 18:01M. Zahradka—91111113P. Bradach—114881
LFeb 5 · 15:30M. Zahradka—101180P. Bradach—1213113
LFeb 4 · 22:00M. Zahradka—311471P. Bradach—11611113
WFeb 4 · 20:30M. Zahradka—71111113P. Bradach—113561
M. Zahradka10
WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182
P. Bradach10
WSep 7 · 20:00P. Bradach2.75531112203E. Mares1.401111810182LSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LAug 19 · 21:03P. Bradach1.508860L. Prikasky2.501111113LAug 19 · 20:30P. Bradach1.33161181162L. Prikasky3.25188118113LAug 19 · 19:00P. Bradach2.637730E. Mares1.441111113WAug 19 · 18:00M. Parzhizek1.401181510142P. Bradach2.754111312163WAug 18 · 21:30P. Bradach1.36111011113L. Prikasky3.00412491WAug 18 · 20:30P. Bradach1.401111113L. Prikasky2.757540WAug 18 · 19:00P. Bradach3.0011111011113E. Mares1.3613312872WAug 18 · 18:00J. Zajicek1.91510100P. Bradach1.801112123
Upcoming Matches
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