TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449972
Played Aug 18Finished
Petr Bradach
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131131012118117
Erik Mares
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeErik Mares to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Bradach above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 97 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Erik Mares at 69.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bradach 5–9 Erik Mares Petr Bradach has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Mares
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Mares
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bradach 1905 vs Mares 1918
Mares
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bradach 40% vs Mares 80%
Mares
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bradach 40% vs Mares 60%
Mares
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bradach +1 · Mares -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Mares) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBradach 3.00 / Mares 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Mares)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449972
Bradach3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 23 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Mares1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 123 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it87% 76 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it73% 98 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBradach4wins
AwayMares6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBradach100%3 of 3
AwayMares85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bradach3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S2Bradach5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S3Bradach4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S4Bradach1Mares3n = 4Mares took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBradachMaresB − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.232.4−4.2per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBradachMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 233 vs 579 / 114354.5%50.7%127 / 233 vs 579 / 1143Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresBradach 3.00/Mares 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.8%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bradach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 15:30P. Bradach—4460E. Mares—1111113
WAug 6 · 14:00P. Bradach—911113113E. Mares—11641172
LJul 27 · 18:00P. Bradach—2112111E. Mares—11511133
WJul 15 · 16:30P. Bradach—1111113E. Mares—7740
LJun 15 · 18:00P. Bradach—8770E. Mares—1111113
LSep 29 · 21:00P. Bradach—9310E. Mares—1111113
LSep 29 · 18:00P. Bradach—41211101E. Mares—11146123
LSep 22 · 18:00P. Bradach—3750E. Mares—1111113
WSep 1 · 21:00P. Bradach—111110113E. Mares—711281
WSep 1 · 18:00P. Bradach—1111123E. Mares—59100
P. Bradach10
LSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LAug 19 · 21:03P. Bradach1.508860L. Prikasky2.501111113LAug 19 · 20:30P. Bradach1.33161181162L. Prikasky3.25188118113LAug 19 · 19:00P. Bradach2.637730E. Mares1.441111113WAug 19 · 18:00M. Parzhizek1.401181510142P. Bradach2.754111312163WAug 18 · 21:30P. Bradach1.36111011113L. Prikasky3.00412491WAug 18 · 20:30P. Bradach1.401111113L. Prikasky2.757540WAug 18 · 18:00J. Zajicek1.91510100P. Bradach1.801112123LAug 13 · 16:58P. Bradach1.5091060M. Kratochvil2.501112113
E. Mares10
LSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151WSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750WSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870LSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113WAug 19 · 19:00P. Bradach2.637730E. Mares1.441111113
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