TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455436
Played Aug 19Finished
Petr Bradach
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711311––––
Erik Mares
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeErik Mares to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bradach above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Erik Mares at 69.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bradach 6–10 Erik Mares Petr Bradach has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mares
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Mares
Correct
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bradach 1899 vs Mares 1876
Bradach
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bradach 100% vs Mares 60%
Bradach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bradach 60% vs Mares 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bradach +5 · Mares +2
Bradach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Mares) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bradach form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBradach 2.63 / Mares 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Mares)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455436
Bradach2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 24 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Mares1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 125 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it88% 78 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it73% 100 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBradach3wins
AwayMares7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBradachn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMares77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bradach1Mares9n = 10Mares took 9 of 10
S2Bradach4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S3Bradach3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S4Bradach1Mares3n = 4Mares took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBradachMaresB − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.634.8−7.2per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBradachMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 240 vs 584 / 115354.6%50.7%131 / 240 vs 584 / 1153Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresBradach 2.63/Mares 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 19:00P. Bradach—7730E. Mares—1111113
WAug 18 · 19:00P. Bradach—11111011113E. Mares—13312872
LAug 13 · 15:30P. Bradach—4460E. Mares—1111113
WAug 6 · 14:00P. Bradach—911113113E. Mares—11641172
LJul 27 · 18:00P. Bradach—2112111E. Mares—11511133
WJul 15 · 16:30P. Bradach—1111113E. Mares—7740
LJun 15 · 18:00P. Bradach—8770E. Mares—1111113
LSep 29 · 21:00P. Bradach—9310E. Mares—1111113
LSep 29 · 18:00P. Bradach—41211101E. Mares—11146123
LSep 22 · 18:00P. Bradach—3750E. Mares—1111113
P. Bradach10
LSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LAug 19 · 21:03P. Bradach1.508860L. Prikasky2.501111113LAug 19 · 20:30P. Bradach1.33161181162L. Prikasky3.25188118113WAug 19 · 18:00M. Parzhizek1.401181510142P. Bradach2.754111312163WAug 18 · 21:30P. Bradach1.36111011113L. Prikasky3.00412491WAug 18 · 20:30P. Bradach1.401111113L. Prikasky2.757540WAug 18 · 19:00P. Bradach3.0011111011113E. Mares1.3613312872WAug 18 · 18:00J. Zajicek1.91510100P. Bradach1.801112123LAug 13 · 16:58P. Bradach1.5091060M. Kratochvil2.501112113
E. Mares10
LSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151WSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750WSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870LSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LAug 18 · 19:00P. Bradach3.0011111011113E. Mares1.3613312872
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