TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12452113
Played Aug 18Finished
Petr Bradach
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115114––––
Libor Prikasky
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:00 and never touched — 68.3% is still 68.3%
Graded at full timePetr Bradach to win
68.3%
68.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bradach above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Petr Bradach at 68.3%
49 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bradach 3–0 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:00What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bradach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Bradach
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bradach 1915 vs Prikasky 1764
Bradach
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bradach 60% vs Prikasky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bradach 50% vs Prikasky 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bradach +2 · Prikasky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Bradach) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prikasky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBradach 1.40 / Prikasky 2.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Bradach)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12452113
Bradach1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 39 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Prikasky2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 68 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBradach3wins
AwayPrikasky0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBradach leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBradach100%3 of 3
AwayPrikaskyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bradach3Prikasky0n = 3Bradach took 3 of 3
S2Bradach1Prikasky2n = 3Prikasky took 2 of 3
S3Bradach2Prikasky1n = 3Bradach took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBradachPrikaskyB − PBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.727.3+12.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBradachPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 234 vs 213 / 37954.7%56.2%128 / 234 vs 213 / 379Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BradachBradach 1.40/Prikasky 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Bradach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bradach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 30 · 20:30P. Bradach—11611113L. Prikasky—311791
WJul 27 · 21:00P. Bradach—117711113L. Prikasky—21111552
WJul 27 · 19:30P. Bradach—1111113L. Prikasky—4680
P. Bradach10
LSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LAug 19 · 21:03P. Bradach1.508860L. Prikasky2.501111113LAug 19 · 20:30P. Bradach1.33161181162L. Prikasky3.25188118113LAug 19 · 19:00P. Bradach2.637730E. Mares1.441111113WAug 19 · 18:00M. Parzhizek1.401181510142P. Bradach2.754111312163WAug 18 · 21:30P. Bradach1.36111011113L. Prikasky3.00412491WAug 18 · 19:00P. Bradach3.0011111011113E. Mares1.3613312872WAug 18 · 18:00J. Zajicek1.91510100P. Bradach1.801112123LAug 13 · 16:58P. Bradach1.5091060M. Kratochvil2.501112113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla1.8311813113L. Prikasky1.836111171WSep 5 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.73771161L. Prikasky2.0011115113LSep 5 · 07:30L. Prikasky1.8391180M. Vavrecka1.831113113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla1.911111118113L. Prikasky1.8091351192WSep 4 · 17:31M. Skotnica1.67912118102L. Prikasky2.101110711123WSep 4 · 16:30D. Tomica2.75117861L. Prikasky1.4091111113LSep 4 · 15:30L. Prikasky2.1041030M. Skotnica1.671112113WAug 19 · 21:03P. Bradach1.508860L. Prikasky2.501111113WAug 19 · 20:30P. Bradach1.33161181162L. Prikasky3.25188118113LAug 18 · 21:30P. Bradach1.36111011113L. Prikasky3.00412491
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