TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094942
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181131210––––
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 55 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 56.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 6–9 Michal Zahradka Jakub Kycelt has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Zahradka beat Kycelt 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zahradka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1815 vs Zahradka 1833
Zahradka
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 40% vs Zahradka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 50% vs Zahradka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt -1 · Zahradka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.83 / Zahradka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zahradka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13094942
Kycelt1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Zahradka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKycelt6wins
AwayZahradka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKycelt leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt75%6 of 8
AwayZahradkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt8Zahradka2n = 10Kycelt took 8 of 10
S2Kycelt5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S3Kycelt5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S4Kycelt6Zahradka0n = 6Kycelt took 6 of 6
S5Kycelt0Zahradka3n = 3Zahradka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyceltZahradkaK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.234.7+3.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 322 vs 441 / 90450%48.8%161 / 322 vs 441 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaKycelt 1.83/Zahradka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt—1111123M. Zahradka—83100
LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt—119101282M. Zahradka—7111210113
WSep 7 · 14:30J. Kycelt—11611113M. Zahradka—511991
WMay 26 · 23:30J. Kycelt—11117113M. Zahradka—781181
WMay 21 · 13:30J. Kycelt—1111113M. Zahradka—5870
LMay 21 · 12:30J. Kycelt—41191162M. Zahradka—118118113
LMay 14 · 10:30J. Kycelt—61180M. Zahradka—1113113
WMay 14 · 06:30J. Kycelt—1111113M. Zahradka—5590
LMar 12 · 21:00J. Kycelt—11981172M. Zahradka—611115113
WSep 19 · 08:30J. Kycelt—13611113M. Zahradka—1111991
J. Kycelt10
LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750LSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101WSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793
Upcoming Matches
J. Kycelt
Nothing scheduled
M. Zahradka
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