TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092966
Played Sep 8Finished
Vojtech Koubek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111612109111113
Tomas Postelt
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Koubek above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 103 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Vojtech Koubek at 61.3%
103 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koubek 33–18 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 18 of their 51 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Koubek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-18 in 51
Koubek
Wrong
gap of 15 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koubek 1875 vs Postelt 1794
Koubek
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koubek 20% vs Postelt 40%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koubek 50% vs Postelt 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koubek -4 · Postelt +2
Koubek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Koubek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoubek 1.61 / Postelt 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Koubek)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092966
Koubek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 36 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Postelt2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 74 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back33% 31 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoubek6wins
AwayPostelt4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKoubek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoubek100%4 of 4
AwayPostelt66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koubek4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Koubek8Postelt2n = 10Koubek took 8 of 10
S3Koubek6Postelt4n = 10Koubek took 6 of 10
S4Koubek1Postelt4n = 5Postelt took 4 of 5
S5Koubek2Postelt1n = 3Koubek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubekPosteltK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.035.8+1.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubekPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 376 vs 346 / 74651.3%46.4%193 / 376 vs 346 / 746Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekKoubek 1.61/Postelt 2.20
Miss
What we said
61.3%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 16:30V. Koubek—1111143T. Postelt—77120
WAug 10 · 15:30V. Koubek—91112113T. Postelt—1171091
WMay 26 · 17:30V. Koubek—111135113T. Postelt—84111192
WMay 26 · 15:00V. Koubek—1215113T. Postelt—101370
LMay 4 · 16:30V. Koubek—101160T. Postelt—1213113
WApr 16 · 14:30V. Koubek—1111113T. Postelt—6770
LApr 7 · 14:30V. Koubek—51112882T. Postelt—1141011113
LMar 26 · 18:00V. Koubek—10680T. Postelt—1211113
WMar 26 · 16:00V. Koubek—1011118113T. Postelt—12761162
LMar 3 · 17:30V. Koubek—412981T. Postelt—111011113
V. Koubek10
LSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680LSep 7 · 21:00J. Vales1.7311912113V. Koubek2.007111071LSep 7 · 20:30V. Koubek2.637390J. Zajicek1.441111113LSep 7 · 19:00V. Koubek2.63981171J. Medek1.4411117113LSep 7 · 18:00J. Vales1.67611117123V. Koubek2.10116711102WSep 7 · 17:29V. Koubek3.001112113J. Zajicek1.3691080WSep 7 · 16:00J. Medek1.44711911122V. Koubek2.63114113143WSep 7 · 15:00J. Zajicek1.4411127882V. Koubek2.639101111113WSep 7 · 14:30V. Koubek2.2011125113J. Vales1.616101161
T. Postelt10
WSep 8 · 15:30T. Postelt2.3811414113L. Jindrak1.536111281WSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113WSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101LSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130
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