TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092988
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1164111412118––
Lukas Jindrak
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:47 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Jindrak at 66.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 11–21 Lukas Jindrak Tomas Postelt has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jindrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-21 in 32
Jindrak
Wrong
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1807 vs Jindrak 1916
Jindrak
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 60% vs Jindrak 40%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 60% vs Jindrak 40%
Postelt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +3 · Jindrak -2
Postelt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jindrak) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.38 / Jindrak 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Jindrak)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092988
Postelt2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 74 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back33% 31 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Jindrak1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 85 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 58 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt3wins
AwayJindrak7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePosteltn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJindrak62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt2Jindrak8n = 10Jindrak took 8 of 10
S2Postelt2Jindrak8n = 10Jindrak took 8 of 10
S3Postelt2Jindrak8n = 10Jindrak took 8 of 10
S4Postelt6Jindrak0n = 6Postelt took 6 of 6
S5Postelt3Jindrak3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltJindrakP − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.743.4−7.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 747 vs 241 / 43946.5%54.9%347 / 747 vs 241 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakPostelt 2.38/Jindrak 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:00T. Postelt—711414113L. Jindrak—114111252
LAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt—11560L. Jindrak—1311113
LAug 10 · 14:00T. Postelt—47111252L. Jindrak—1111910113
LAug 5 · 06:30T. Postelt—3350L. Jindrak—1111113
LAug 1 · 21:29T. Postelt—4970L. Jindrak—1111113
WAug 1 · 20:00T. Postelt—641513113L. Jindrak—1111131182
LJun 24 · 07:30T. Postelt—47130L. Jindrak—1111153
WJun 23 · 09:30T. Postelt—8111111113L. Jindrak—11813882
LJun 23 · 06:00T. Postelt—126711102L. Jindrak—1011118123
LJun 13 · 17:30T. Postelt—143911102L. Jindrak—1211111123
T. Postelt10
LSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133WSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113WSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101LSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123
L. Jindrak10
LSep 8 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.571310671M. Zahradka2.25111211113LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113
Upcoming Matches
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L. Jindrak
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