TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092843
Played Sep 8Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161614115––––
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 63 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 26–20 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 20 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-20 in 46
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 6 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1877 vs Postelt 1823
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 80% vs Postelt 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Postelt 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +2 · Postelt +4
Postelt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.83 / Postelt 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zahradka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092843
Zahradka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Postelt1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka7wins
AwayPostelt3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka71.4%5 of 7
AwayPostelt33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka7Postelt3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Zahradka7Postelt3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S4Zahradka4Postelt4n = 8split evenly
S5Zahradka3Postelt2n = 5Zahradka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaPosteltZ − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.838.2+5.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 906 vs 348 / 74848.9%46.5%443 / 906 vs 348 / 748Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.83/Postelt 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka—716111182T. Postelt—111878113
WSep 7 · 15:00M. Zahradka—1111123T. Postelt—35100
WAug 20 · 12:58M. Zahradka—311117113T. Postelt—11591142
WAug 20 · 12:30M. Zahradka—111113113T. Postelt—7131141
LMay 18 · 16:30M. Zahradka—117991T. Postelt—91111113
WMay 14 · 07:30M. Zahradka—1111113T. Postelt—6870
LMay 8 · 14:30M. Zahradka—15911572T. Postelt—1311711113
WMay 8 · 02:00M. Zahradka—9101211113T. Postelt—111210562
WMay 5 · 10:00M. Zahradka—111179113T. Postelt—78111162
WJan 28 · 08:30M. Zahradka—111111113T. Postelt—951341
M. Zahradka10
LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680WSep 8 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.571310671M. Zahradka2.25111211113LSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123
T. Postelt10
WSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 15:30T. Postelt2.3811414113L. Jindrak1.536111281WSep 8 · 14:30V. Koubek1.61911129112T. Postelt2.201161011133WSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113WSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101LSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113
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