TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119544
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111171214119911
Lukas Zeman
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 103 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 15–19 Lukas Zeman Michal Zahradka has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:05What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Zeman
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1886 vs Zeman 1873
Zahradka
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 60% vs Zeman 100%
Zeman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -1 · Zeman +5
Zeman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.10 / Zeman 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zeman)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119544
Zahradka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Zeman1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka5wins
AwayZeman5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka66.7%2 of 3
AwayZeman57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka7Zeman3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S3Zahradka6Zeman4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka5Zeman3n = 8Zahradka took 5 of 8
S5Zahradka1Zeman3n = 4Zeman took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaZemanZahradka − ZemanBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.440.2+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 908 vs 261 / 51948.9%50.3%444 / 908 vs 261 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZahradka 2.10/Zeman 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 18 · 08:30M. Zahradka4387131142L. Zeman531111119113
LMay 14 · 09:30M. Zahradka4441191192L. Zeman46115118113
WMay 14 · 08:30M. Zahradka4291111113L. Zeman37119891
WMar 4 · 22:00M. Zahradka4291111113L. Zeman32118761
LMar 4 · 19:00M. Zahradka371111691L. Zeman4113611113
WFeb 5 · 20:30M. Zahradka44111111113L. Zeman36137971
WFeb 2 · 07:00M. Zahradka49118118113L. Zeman4291181132
LJan 25 · 21:00M. Zahradka189540L. Zeman331111113
WJan 11 · 18:00M. Zahradka331111113L. Zeman249960
LJan 11 · 16:30M. Zahradka52111131982L. Zeman58781121113
M. Zahradka10
LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680WSep 8 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.571310671M. Zahradka2.25111211113LSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870
L. Zeman10
WSep 13 · 09:30L. Zeman1.721111122113E. Mares2.0086141142WSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113WSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741WSep 13 · 06:30E. Mares1.80811791L. Zeman1.9111311113WSep 12 · 12:59E. Mares1.91531120102L. Zeman1.801111818123LSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:30E. Mares1.67891451L. Zeman2.10111112113LSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881
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