TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13122671
Played Sep 13Finished
Ales Barton
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211911119911––
Lukas Zeman
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:04 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Barton above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Zeman at 60.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 1–5 Lukas Zeman Ales Barton has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Zeman
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1764 vs Zeman 1856
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 60% vs Zeman 80%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 50% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Zeman +3
Zeman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 2.50 / Zeman 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Zeman)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13122671
Barton2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Zeman1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBarton1wins
AwayZeman5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderZeman leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayZeman80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton1Zeman5n = 6Zeman took 5 of 6
S2Barton3Zeman3n = 6split evenly
S3Barton3Zeman3n = 6split evenly
S4Barton1Zeman4n = 5Zeman took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBartonZemanB − ZBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match36.341.5−5.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 438 vs 259 / 51753%50.1%232 / 438 vs 259 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanBarton 2.50/Zeman 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LApr 22 · 08:00A. Barton2596100L. Zeman341111123
LMar 10 · 15:30A. Barton30412861L. Zeman43111011113
WJan 11 · 14:30A. Barton4281211113L. Zeman311110461
LJan 11 · 13:30A. Barton50149111062L. Zeman541211812113
LNov 26 · 09:30A. Barton359101151L. Zeman4011126113
LOct 24 · 08:30A. Barton36716581L. Zeman47111411113
A. Barton10
WSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110LSep 13 · 07:00A. Barton3.007620E. Mares1.361111113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111WSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142
L. Zeman10
WSep 13 · 09:30L. Zeman1.721111122113E. Mares2.0086141142WSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741WSep 13 · 06:30E. Mares1.80811791L. Zeman1.9111311113WSep 12 · 12:59E. Mares1.91531120102L. Zeman1.801111818123LSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:30E. Mares1.67891451L. Zeman2.10111112113LSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123
Upcoming Matches
A. Barton
Nothing scheduled
L. Zeman
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