TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124170
Played Sep 13Finished
Ales Barton
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151311––––
Martin Huk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAles Barton to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Barton above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 58 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Ales Barton at 54.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 38–26 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 26 of their 64 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Barton beat Huk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-26 in 64
Barton
Correct
gap of 12 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1781 vs Huk 1753
Barton
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Huk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 50% vs Huk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -2 · Huk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.67 / Huk 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Barton)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124170
Barton1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Huk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back26% 38 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton6wins
AwayHuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBarton leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton83.3%5 of 6
AwayHuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton6Huk4n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S2Barton6Huk4n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S3Barton4Huk6n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S4Barton3Huk4n = 7Huk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonHukB − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.337.8+2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonHukBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 440 vs 804 / 164153%49%233 / 440 vs 804 / 1641Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.67/Huk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton351111133M. Huk2375110
WSep 13 · 06:00A. Barton331111113M. Huk179260
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton3116780M. Huk401811113
WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton56111199163M. Huk51961111142
LAug 14 · 10:00A. Barton386111471M. Huk4411616113
WAug 11 · 14:30A. Barton4291111113M. Huk30115591
LAug 6 · 03:28A. Barton36146791M. Huk45121111113
WAug 6 · 01:00A. Barton58149811163M. Huk541211116142
LJul 31 · 10:00A. Barton33514771M. Huk45111211113
WJul 30 · 14:30A. Barton4111811113M. Huk29511671
A. Barton10
LSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:00A. Barton3.007620E. Mares1.361111113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111WSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142
M. Huk10
WSep 13 · 08:00M. Huk2.50116811133E. Mares1.50511119112LSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741LSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 12 · 08:59M. Huk2.5011791172L. Jindrak1.50811118113WSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962LSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113LSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares1.501111113M. Huk2.502960WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142
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