TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119964
Played Sep 13Finished
Martin Huk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1156118111191311
Erik Mares
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-11
Point 94 set 5, 11-11 — our read held Martin Huk at 54.0%
94 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Martin Huk 22–18 Erik Mares Erik Mares has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:04What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mares
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-18 in 40
Huk
Correct
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1768 vs Mares 1802
Mares
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 20% vs Mares 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 40% vs Mares 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk -3 · Mares +1
Huk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mares) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.50 / Mares 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Mares)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119964
Huk2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back26% 38 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 73
Mares1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 133 of 230
Up 2–0, closes it87% 88 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it72% 113 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk5wins
AwayMares5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk75%3 of 4
AwayMares66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S2Huk3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Huk5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S4Huk5Mares3n = 8Huk took 5 of 8
S5Huk3Mares2n = 5Huk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukMaresH − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.542.8−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1639 vs 603 / 120449%50.1%803 / 1639 vs 603 / 1204Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresHuk 2.50/Mares 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 06:00M. Huk172960E. Mares331111113
WSep 3 · 10:00M. Huk501151211113E. Mares4361114662
WSep 2 · 03:28M. Huk4111811113E. Mares33511891
WSep 1 · 23:00M. Huk48611515113E. Mares45112111382
WJan 23 · 07:00M. Huk4471313113E. Mares4211111191
LJan 17 · 11:30M. Huk378111261E. Mares45111310113
LJan 17 · 09:00M. Huk2391040E. Mares341112113
WJan 16 · 07:30M. Huk44119112113E. Mares4781181192
LJan 14 · 23:30M. Huk5510111211112E. Mares56129148133
LJan 14 · 09:00M. Huk46117111162E. Mares50711813113
M. Huk10
LSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110LSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741LSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 12 · 08:59M. Huk2.5011791172L. Jindrak1.50811118113WSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962LSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113LSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares1.501111113M. Huk2.502960WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113
E. Mares10
LSep 13 · 21:30E. Mares1.80115431T. Postelt1.9011111113WSep 13 · 20:00E. Mares2.2011124113T. Kos1.618101191WSep 13 · 19:30M. Zahradka3.7512611131E. Mares1.2514119153LSep 13 · 18:00E. Mares1.911111812132T. Postelt1.80641114153LSep 13 · 09:30L. Zeman1.721111122113E. Mares2.0086141142WSep 13 · 07:00A. Barton3.007620E. Mares1.361111113LSep 13 · 06:30E. Mares1.80811791L. Zeman1.9111311113LSep 12 · 12:59E. Mares1.91531120102L. Zeman1.801111818123LSep 12 · 12:30L. Jindrak1.571111113E. Mares2.258770WSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares1.501111113M. Huk2.502960
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