TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114735
Played Sep 12Finished
Erik Mares
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112119116––––
Martin Huk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingErik Mares above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Martin Huk at 55.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 18–22 Martin Huk Erik Mares has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:12What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mares
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-22 in 40
Huk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mares 1864 vs Huk 1795
Mares
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mares 40% vs Huk 60%
Huk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mares 50% vs Huk 70%
Huk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mares -3 · Huk +2
Mares
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mares) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.50 / Huk 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Mares)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114735
Mares1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 149 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it85% 93 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it71% 121 of 171
Huk2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 134 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 40 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares5wins
AwayHuk5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares66.7%4 of 6
AwayHuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares6Huk4n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S2Mares7Huk3n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Mares5Huk5n = 10split evenly
S4Mares3Huk5n = 8Huk took 5 of 8
S5Mares2Huk3n = 5Huk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresHukM − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.840.5+2.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresHukBasisWin rate · lifetime600 / 1196 vs 804 / 163950.2%49.1%600 / 1196 vs 804 / 1639Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.50/Huk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares—1111113M. Huk—2960
LSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares—61114662M. Huk—1151211113
LSep 2 · 03:28E. Mares—511891M. Huk—11811113
LSep 1 · 23:00E. Mares—112111382M. Huk—611515113
LJan 23 · 07:00E. Mares—11111191M. Huk—71313113
WJan 17 · 11:30E. Mares—111310113M. Huk—8111261
WJan 17 · 09:00E. Mares—1112113M. Huk—91040
LJan 16 · 07:30E. Mares—81181192M. Huk—119112113
WJan 14 · 23:30E. Mares—129148133M. Huk—10111211112
WJan 14 · 09:00E. Mares—711813113M. Huk—117111162
E. Mares10
WSep 12 · 08:00E. Mares2.201111113L. Jindrak1.618960LSep 12 · 07:30T. Kos1.7311111113E. Mares2.00571181LSep 7 · 20:59E. Mares1.3311101412122P. Bradach3.255121214143LSep 7 · 20:00P. Bradach2.75531112203E. Mares1.401111810182LSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151WSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750WSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870LSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561
M. Huk10
LSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113
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