TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094940
Played Sep 7Finished
Erik Mares
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151012141212141214
Petr Bradach
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingErik Mares above · Petr Bradach below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 116 set 5, 12-14
116 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 10–7 Petr Bradach Petr Bradach has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bradach beat Mares 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bradach form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.33 / Bradach 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 26%
Edge (Mares)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13094940
Mares1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 145 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it87% 90 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it72% 118 of 165
Bradach3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 24 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares6wins
AwayBradach4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares66.7%6 of 9
AwayBradachn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares9Bradach1n = 10Mares took 9 of 10
S2Mares6Bradach4n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S3Mares6Bradach4n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S4Mares3Bradach2n = 5Mares took 3 of 5
S5Mares0Bradach3n = 3Bradach took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresBradachM − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.331.2+6.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresBradachBasisWin rate · lifetime599 / 1193 vs 128 / 23550.2%54.5%599 / 1193 vs 128 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.33/Bradach 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.5%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bradach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 20:00E. Mares—1111810182P. Bradach—531112203
WAug 19 · 19:00E. Mares—1111113P. Bradach—7730
LAug 18 · 19:00E. Mares—13312872P. Bradach—11111011113
WAug 13 · 15:30E. Mares—1111113P. Bradach—4460
LAug 6 · 14:00E. Mares—11641172P. Bradach—911113113
WJul 27 · 18:00E. Mares—11511133P. Bradach—2112111
LJul 15 · 16:30E. Mares—7740P. Bradach—1111113
WJun 15 · 18:00E. Mares—1111113P. Bradach—8770
WSep 29 · 21:00E. Mares—1111113P. Bradach—9310
WSep 29 · 18:00E. Mares—11146123P. Bradach—41211101
E. Mares10
LSep 7 · 20:00P. Bradach2.75531112203E. Mares1.401111810182LSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151WSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750WSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870LSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113
P. Bradach10
WSep 7 · 20:00P. Bradach2.75531112203E. Mares1.401111810182LSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LAug 19 · 21:03P. Bradach1.508860L. Prikasky2.501111113LAug 19 · 20:30P. Bradach1.33161181162L. Prikasky3.25188118113LAug 19 · 19:00P. Bradach2.637730E. Mares1.441111113WAug 19 · 18:00M. Parzhizek1.401181510142P. Bradach2.754111312163WAug 18 · 21:30P. Bradach1.36111011113L. Prikasky3.00412491WAug 18 · 20:30P. Bradach1.401111113L. Prikasky2.757540WAug 18 · 19:00P. Bradach3.0011111011113E. Mares1.3613312872
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