TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114826
Played Sep 12Finished
Lukas Jindrak
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Erik Mares
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:15 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Jindrak to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-4
Point 47 set 3, 6-4 — our read held Lukas Jindrak at 58.5%
47 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 36–24 Erik Mares Erik Mares has won 24 of their 60 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Mares beat Jindrak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jindrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-24 in 60
Jindrak
Correct
gap of 12 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 1876 vs Mares 1860
Jindrak
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 60% vs Mares 40%
Jindrak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 40% vs Mares 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak -1 · Mares -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jindrak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 1.57 / Mares 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Mares)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114826
Jindrak1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it76% 53 of 70
Mares2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 104 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJindrak7wins
AwayMares3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrak100%6 of 6
AwayMares75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak6Mares4n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S2Jindrak4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S3Jindrak8Mares2n = 10Jindrak took 8 of 10
S4Jindrak2Mares3n = 5Mares took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJindrakMaresJ − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.732.2+2.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 448 vs 602 / 120054.7%50.2%245 / 448 vs 602 / 1200Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakJindrak 1.57/Mares 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jindrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 08:00L. Jindrak238960E. Mares331111113
WAug 26 · 09:28L. Jindrak44611115113E. Mares4011671152
LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak259880E. Mares331111113
WAug 20 · 16:58L. Jindrak401114153E. Mares32712130
WAug 20 · 16:00L. Jindrak3311011113E. Mares31811751
WAug 16 · 09:00L. Jindrak331111113E. Mares196850
WAug 16 · 06:00L. Jindrak48138115113E. Mares46111161172
WAug 10 · 15:00L. Jindrak3411111113E. Mares22611321
LAug 10 · 13:28L. Jindrak294411101E. Mares3911115123
WAug 10 · 11:00L. Jindrak381111163E. Mares2794140
L. Jindrak10
LSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113LSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153WSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113WSep 12 · 08:59M. Huk2.5011791172L. Jindrak1.50811118113LSep 12 · 08:00E. Mares2.201111113L. Jindrak1.618960WSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113LSep 12 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.806990T. Kos1.911111113LSep 8 · 16:58L. Jindrak1.73118116102V. Koubek2.00611611123WSep 8 · 16:00L. Jindrak1.9111117113V. Koubek1.80861141LSep 8 · 15:30T. Postelt2.3811414113L. Jindrak1.536111281
E. Mares10
LSep 12 · 12:59E. Mares1.91531120102L. Zeman1.801111818123LSep 12 · 11:30E. Mares1.67891451L. Zeman2.10111112113WSep 12 · 10:30T. Kos1.61111280E. Mares2.201314113LSep 12 · 09:30T. Kos1.6181111123E. Mares2.201164101WSep 12 · 08:00E. Mares2.201111113L. Jindrak1.618960LSep 12 · 07:30T. Kos1.7311111113E. Mares2.00571181WSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares1.501111113M. Huk2.502960LSep 7 · 20:59E. Mares1.3311101412122P. Bradach3.255121214143LSep 7 · 20:00P. Bradach2.75531112203E. Mares1.401111810182LSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292
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