TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119547
Played Sep 13Finished
Lukas Zeman
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115911117114––
Martin Huk
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zeman above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Lukas Zeman at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zeman 21–18 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-18 in 39
Zeman
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1856 vs Huk 1768
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Huk 20%
Zeman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 50% vs Huk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +2 · Huk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.57 / Huk 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zeman)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119547
Zeman1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Huk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 273
Down 0–1, comes back26% 38 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman5wins
AwayHuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman75%3 of 4
AwayHuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman4Huk6n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S2Zeman7Huk3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Zeman6Huk4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S4Zeman4Huk4n = 8split evenly
S5Zeman1Huk2n = 3Huk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanHukZ − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.036.6+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanHukBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 517 vs 803 / 163950.1%49%259 / 517 vs 803 / 1639Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.57/Huk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 25 · 22:00L. Zeman531111119113M. Huk4413561192
WApr 11 · 20:00L. Zeman4211911113M. Huk30711571
LApr 3 · 10:00L. Zeman371211861M. Huk4014411113
WApr 2 · 20:30L. Zeman331111113M. Huk193880
LFeb 22 · 22:30L. Zeman4111910111M. Huk4371112133
LFeb 22 · 19:30L. Zeman53891212122M. Huk5611111010143
WJan 15 · 03:00L. Zeman3961111113M. Huk28114491
WJan 14 · 10:30L. Zeman331111113M. Huk227690
LJan 14 · 07:00L. Zeman4212119101M. Huk4214511123
LJan 12 · 07:30L. Zeman4791181182M. Huk42115114113
L. Zeman10
WSep 13 · 06:30E. Mares1.80811791L. Zeman1.9111311113WSep 12 · 12:59E. Mares1.91531120102L. Zeman1.801111818123LSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:30E. Mares1.67891451L. Zeman2.10111112113LSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123WSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123
M. Huk10
LSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 12 · 08:59M. Huk2.5011791172L. Jindrak1.50811118113WSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962LSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113LSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares1.501111113M. Huk2.502960WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113WSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123
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