TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115038
Played Sep 12Finished
Lukas Zeman
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113911––––
Tomas Kos
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zeman above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 63 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Kos at 60.2%
63 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zeman 2–5 Tomas Kos Lukas Zeman has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kos
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1810 vs Kos 1945
Kos
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 40% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 40% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman +1 · Kos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 2.75 / Kos 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Kos)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115038
Zeman2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 40 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back26% 11 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back16% 4 of 25
Kos1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZeman2wins
AwayKos5wins
Kos leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZemann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKos80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman2Kos5n = 7Kos took 5 of 7
S2Zeman3Kos4n = 7Kos took 4 of 7
S3Zeman1Kos6n = 7Kos took 6 of 7
S4Zeman2Kos2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricZemanKosZ − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match29.933.7−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKosBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 513 vs 91 / 18549.9%49.2%256 / 513 vs 91 / 185Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosZeman 2.75/Kos 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 15 · 14:30L. Zeman159510T. Kos331111113
LMay 9 · 17:00L. Zeman35611991T. Kos3611311113
LMay 9 · 14:00L. Zeman34117791T. Kos3851111113
LJan 20 · 10:30L. Zeman259970T. Kos331111113
LJan 20 · 07:30L. Zeman239860T. Kos331111113
WDec 20 · 16:30L. Zeman3911117103T. Kos34781181
WAug 23 · 11:00L. Zeman388111183T. Kos29117741
L. Zeman10
WSep 12 · 12:59E. Mares1.91531120102L. Zeman1.801111818123WSep 12 · 11:30E. Mares1.67891451L. Zeman2.10111112113LSep 12 · 10:00L. Zeman2.508140L. Jindrak1.501111113LSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 02:30E. Mares1.80111311113L. Zeman1.91715881WSep 2 · 01:00F. Wolf2.00118813102L. Zeman1.739111111123WSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman1.577118101M. Huk2.2511711123LAug 16 · 13:29J. Cernik1.369111011113L. Zeman3.0011912482LAug 16 · 12:00J. Cernik1.3611911113L. Zeman3.00811481
T. Kos10
WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153LSep 12 · 10:30T. Kos1.61111280E. Mares2.201314113WSep 12 · 09:30T. Kos1.6181111123E. Mares2.201164101LSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962WSep 12 · 07:30T. Kos1.7311111113E. Mares2.00571181WSep 12 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.806990T. Kos1.911111113WAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442LAug 30 · 11:30T. Kos1.67891181E. Mares2.1011114113
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