TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114721
Played Sep 12Finished
Martin Huk
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311611711119116
Tomas Kos
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Huk at 55.3%
96 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 0–3 Tomas Kos Martin Huk has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:07What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Kos
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1795 vs Kos 1920
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 40% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 50% vs Kos 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk -2 · Kos +3
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 3.25 / Kos 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Kos)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114721
Huk3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 134 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 40 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 84
Kos1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHuk0wins
AwayKos3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKos leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk1Kos2n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
S2Huk1Kos2n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
S3Huk0Kos3n = 3Kos took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricHukKosH − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match27.039.3−12.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukKosBasisWin rate · lifetime804 / 1639 vs 89 / 18149.1%49.2%804 / 1639 vs 89 / 181Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosHuk 3.25/Kos 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.7%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LDec 27 · 18:30M. Huk—6480T. Kos—1111113
LDec 27 · 16:00M. Huk—121111922T. Kos—1071311113
LAug 22 · 15:30M. Huk—5760T. Kos—1111113
M. Huk10
LSep 12 · 07:00M. Huk2.5081213962L. Jindrak1.5011101111113LSep 12 · 06:00E. Mares1.501111113M. Huk2.502960WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772
T. Kos10
WSep 12 · 07:30T. Kos1.7311111113E. Mares2.00571181WSep 12 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.806990T. Kos1.911111113WAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442LAug 30 · 11:30T. Kos1.67891181E. Mares2.1011114113WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 09:29J. Zajicek1.361111143T. Kos3.0083120LAug 30 · 08:30J. Zajicek1.401111113T. Kos2.758570WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860WAug 30 · 06:30E. Mares2.00411551T. Kos1.7311711113
Upcoming Matches
M. Huk
Nothing scheduled
T. Kos1 of 4 neutral
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