TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13111446
Played Sep 11Finished
Vojtech Svechota
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111214911––––
Ales Barton
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAles Barton to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Svechota above · Ales Barton below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 63 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ales Barton at 54.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Svechota 2–2 Ales Barton Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svechota 1714 vs Barton 1753
Barton
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svechota 20% vs Barton 40%
Barton
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svechota 60% vs Barton 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svechota +1 · Barton +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barton)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvechota 1.91 / Barton 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barton)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13111446
Svechota1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 23 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Barton1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 85 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it73% 57 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvechota2wins
AwayBarton2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvechotan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBarton66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svechota1Barton3n = 4Barton took 3 of 4
S2Svechota3Barton1n = 4Svechota took 3 of 4
S3Svechota1Barton3n = 4Barton took 3 of 4
S4Svechota3Barton1n = 4Svechota took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvechotaBartonS − BBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.841.8+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvechotaBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 323 vs 229 / 43357.6%52.9%186 / 323 vs 229 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonSvechota 1.91/Barton 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 12 · 08:30V. Svechota—11127113A. Barton—4101191
LJun 27 · 23:00V. Svechota—911711102A. Barton—116119123
LMay 19 · 17:30V. Svechota—741181A. Barton—11116113
WMay 19 · 15:30V. Svechota—8111111113A. Barton—11813582
V. Svechota10
WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota1.61116130J. Ruzicka2.201311153WAug 19 · 23:00M. Pikous2.758970V. Svechota1.401111113WAug 19 · 21:28V. Svechota1.5061111113J. Louda2.50119841WAug 19 · 20:30V. Svechota1.611211166113V. Nohejl2.20147141172WAug 19 · 19:00V. Svechota1.5761111113V. Kolar2.25118941WAug 19 · 18:00J. Louda2.10113881V. Svechota1.6561111113
A. Barton10
WSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142LAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk1.57119511113A. Barton2.2561111562WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571WAug 29 · 12:00A. Barton2.1011121011123J. Kanera1.671310128102WAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec2.635880A. Barton1.441111113WAug 29 · 10:00A. Barton1.531113115113J. Ruzicka2.3881571152WAug 22 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.85711391A. Barton1.8011511113
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