TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108703
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711119911––
Vojtech Svechota
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Vojtech Svechota below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 60.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 20–16 Vojtech Svechota Vojtech Svechota has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-16 in 36
Ruzicka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1729 vs Svechota 1702
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Svechota 20%
Ruzicka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Svechota 50%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -1 · Svechota -4
Svechota
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svechota form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.83 / Svechota 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108703
Ruzicka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Svechota1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka3wins
AwaySvechota7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSvechota leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka50%2 of 4
AwaySvechota83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka4Svechota6n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka3Svechota7n = 10Svechota took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka5Svechota5n = 10split evenly
S4Ruzicka0Svechota5n = 5Svechota took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaSvechotaR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.137.0−4.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaSvechotaBasisWin rate · lifetime673 / 1391 vs 186 / 32448.4%57.4%673 / 1391 vs 186 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.83/Svechota 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka—871191V. Svechota—11119113
WAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka—1111113V. Svechota—9560
WAug 20 · 24:00J. Ruzicka—1311153V. Svechota—116130
LJul 24 · 10:00J. Ruzicka—111791V. Svechota—61111113
LJul 24 · 06:30J. Ruzicka—410110V. Svechota—1112133
LJul 20 · 17:30J. Ruzicka—4940V. Svechota—1111113
WJul 20 · 15:00J. Ruzicka—4111210123V. Svechota—1171012102
LJul 20 · 12:00J. Ruzicka—871581V. Svechota—111113113
LJul 12 · 10:30J. Ruzicka—8650V. Svechota—1111113
LJul 7 · 03:30J. Ruzicka—119991V. Svechota—81111113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.231111911143S. Kasnik3.35513119122WSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482WSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.9013970J. Ruzicka1.801511113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Jezek1.915260J. Ruzicka1.801111113LSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.4582120R. Urbaniec2.601111143WSep 9 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk2.206111191J. Ruzicka1.6111913113
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota1.61116130J. Ruzicka2.201311153WAug 19 · 23:00M. Pikous2.758970V. Svechota1.401111113WAug 19 · 21:28V. Svechota1.5061111113J. Louda2.50119841WAug 19 · 20:30V. Svechota1.611211166113V. Nohejl2.20147141172WAug 19 · 19:00V. Svechota1.5761111113V. Kolar2.25118941WAug 19 · 18:00J. Louda2.10113881V. Svechota1.6561111113
Upcoming Matches
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V. Svechota
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