TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455603
Played Aug 19Finished
Vojtech Svechota
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12141171614611117
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Svechota to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Svechota above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 109 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Svechota at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Svechota 3–2 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:03What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svechota 1729 vs Nohejl 1806
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svechota 60% vs Nohejl 80%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svechota 40% vs Nohejl 60%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svechota +2 · Nohejl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Svechota) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvechota 1.61 / Nohejl 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Svechota)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455603
Svechota1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it83% 59 of 71
Nohejl2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 21 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back32% 8 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSvechota3wins
AwayNohejl2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSvechota leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvechota50%2 of 4
AwayNohejln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svechota4Nohejl1n = 5Svechota took 4 of 5
S2Svechota3Nohejl2n = 5Svechota took 3 of 5
S3Svechota2Nohejl3n = 5Nohejl took 3 of 5
S4Svechota2Nohejl3n = 5Nohejl took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSvechotaNohejlS − NBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match40.038.6+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvechotaNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 325 vs 159 / 28958.5%55%190 / 325 vs 159 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaSvechota 1.61/Nohejl 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WApr 15 · 16:00V. Svechota—711115113V. Nohejl—11661162
LDec 25 · 13:00V. Svechota—11118362V. Nohejl—951111113
LDec 24 · 09:00V. Svechota—117881V. Nohejl—81111113
WDec 17 · 18:00V. Svechota—11911123V. Nohejl—7117101
WDec 17 · 17:30V. Svechota—11116113V. Nohejl—481171
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota1.61116130J. Ruzicka2.201311153WAug 19 · 23:00M. Pikous2.758970V. Svechota1.401111113WAug 19 · 21:28V. Svechota1.5061111113J. Louda2.50119841WAug 19 · 19:00V. Svechota1.5761111113V. Kolar2.25118941WAug 19 · 18:00J. Louda2.10113881V. Svechota1.6561111113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981
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