TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104947
Played Sep 10Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1147111012711––
Adam Brazda
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:44 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Adam Brazda at 60.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 5–12 Adam Brazda Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Brazda
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1778 vs Brazda 1768
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Brazda 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 60% vs Brazda 80%
Brazda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -1 · Brazda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.61 / Brazda 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Nohejl)-2.5pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13104947
Nohejl1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Brazda2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 31 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back34% 12 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl3wins
AwayBrazda7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrazda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl60%3 of 5
AwayBrazda100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl5Brazda5n = 10split evenly
S2Nohejl5Brazda5n = 10split evenly
S3Nohejl3Brazda7n = 10Brazda took 7 of 10
S4Nohejl5Brazda4n = 9Nohejl took 5 of 9
S5Nohejl1Brazda3n = 4Brazda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlBrazdaN − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.240.1−0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 311 vs 190 / 39755%47.9%171 / 311 vs 190 / 397Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.61/Brazda 2.20
Miss
What we said
55.2%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl—15661172A. Brazda—1311112113
LJan 12 · 18:00V. Nohejl—47111182A. Brazda—111172113
WJan 12 · 16:30V. Nohejl—11202113A. Brazda—9181161
LDec 29 · 22:04V. Nohejl—611881A. Brazda—11711113
LDec 29 · 19:00V. Nohejl—711571A. Brazda—11811113
WOct 2 · 19:00V. Nohejl—117911123A. Brazda—411114102
WSep 14 · 09:00V. Nohejl—1111113A. Brazda—5370
LSep 14 · 06:30V. Nohejl—8121111102A. Brazda—111419123
LJun 24 · 21:06V. Nohejl—119751A. Brazda—91111113
LJun 24 · 18:00V. Nohejl—611691A. Brazda—11911113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091
A. Brazda10
LSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462LSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581WSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792
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