TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104513
Played Sep 10Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1416117115118––
Adam Brazda
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 83 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Adam Brazda at 54.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 3–3 Adam Brazda Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1724 vs Brazda 1787
Brazda
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Brazda 100%
Brazda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Brazda 80%
Brazda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Brazda +5
Brazda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.40 / Brazda 2.75
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Brazda)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104513
Urbaniec1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 205 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it92% 101 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 138 of 180
Brazda2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 31 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back34% 12 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeUrbaniec3wins
AwayBrazda3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec66.7%2 of 3
AwayBrazda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Brazda3n = 6split evenly
S2Urbaniec3Brazda3n = 6split evenly
S3Urbaniec4Brazda2n = 6Urbaniec took 4 of 6
S4Urbaniec2Brazda2n = 4split evenly
S5Urbaniec1Brazda2n = 3Brazda took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricUrbaniecBrazdaU − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.836.3+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime618 / 1214 vs 190 / 39650.9%48%618 / 1214 vs 190 / 396Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.40/Brazda 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJan 15 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—111111143A. Brazda—7135121
LJan 4 · 09:30R. Urbaniec—61111252A. Brazda—1111210113
WJan 3 · 16:30R. Urbaniec—1111113A. Brazda—2980
WDec 30 · 19:30R. Urbaniec—811118113A. Brazda—11621122
LDec 29 · 21:30R. Urbaniec—121167102A. Brazda—1081111123
LApr 3 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—8780A. Brazda—1111113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551LSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482WSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113LSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.82791681O. Kolisnyk1.88111114113WSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.4582120R. Urbaniec2.601111143LSep 9 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.831011761M. Jezek1.7812711113
A. Brazda10
WSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113LSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113WSep 3 · 15:00A. Brazda1.61515811113S. Kasnik2.20111311792WSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113LSep 1 · 17:30A. Brazda1.40118771S. Kasnik2.7591111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73O. Svacha2.00—Sep 11 · 06:00R. Urbaniec2.37M. Klimenta1.46—Sep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.50J. Ruzicka1.50—Sep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.65V. Svechota1.37—Sep 11 · 10:30R. Urbaniec2.37J. Ruzicka1.46—Sep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.80O. Kolisnyk1.80—Sep 11 · 12:30R. Urbaniec2.75V. Svechota1.40—
A. Brazda
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.