TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103813
Played Sep 9Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012117711611––
Michal Jezek
Away
1.78
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Michal Jezek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 59.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 4–1 Michal Jezek Michal Jezek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:58What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (51%)
Jezek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Urbaniec
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1733 vs Jezek 1788
Jezek
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Jezek 80%
Jezek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 60% vs Jezek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +2 · Jezek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jezek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.83 / Jezek 1.78
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urbaniec)+4.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103813
Urbaniec1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 144
Jezek1.78
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 20 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeUrbaniec4wins
AwayJezek1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJezek0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec2Jezek3n = 5Jezek took 3 of 5
S2Urbaniec3Jezek2n = 5Urbaniec took 3 of 5
S3Urbaniec3Jezek2n = 5Urbaniec took 3 of 5
S4Urbaniec4Jezek1n = 5Urbaniec took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricUrbaniecJezekU − JBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match40.837.0+3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecJezekBasisWin rate · lifetime614 / 1204 vs 177 / 35051%50.6%614 / 1204 vs 177 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.83/Jezek 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jezek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 11 · 14:00R. Urbaniec—119771M. Jezek—91111113
WJul 15 · 16:00R. Urbaniec—41111113M. Jezek—118791
WJun 17 · 17:30R. Urbaniec—11119113M. Jezek—351191
WJun 17 · 14:00R. Urbaniec—861111123M. Jezek—111174102
WJun 12 · 15:30R. Urbaniec—91112113M. Jezek—1171091
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581LSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551LSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482WSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113LSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.82791681O. Kolisnyk1.88111114113WSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.4582120R. Urbaniec2.601111143
M. Jezek10
WSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:30M. Jezek1.915260J. Ruzicka1.801111113LSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek1.731212841O. Kolisnyk2.00101411113WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
M. Jezek
Nothing scheduled
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