TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104518
Played Sep 10Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6115111210119114
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 90 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 55.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 15–12 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-12 in 27
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1776 vs Urbaniec 1743
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 80% vs Urbaniec 60%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 70% vs Urbaniec 50%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +3 · Urbaniec +1
Nohejl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.57 / Urbaniec 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Nohejl)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104518
Nohejl1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Urbaniec2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 470
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl5wins
AwayUrbaniec5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl60%3 of 5
AwayUrbaniec60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S2Nohejl5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S3Nohejl5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Nohejl4Urbaniec3n = 7Nohejl took 4 of 7
S5Nohejl1Urbaniec2n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlUrbaniecN − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.237.7+0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 311 vs 618 / 121355%51%171 / 311 vs 618 / 1213Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.57/Urbaniec 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 17:30V. Nohejl—141112113R. Urbaniec—1261471
WAug 19 · 16:30V. Nohejl—1111113R. Urbaniec—7830
LAug 5 · 16:59V. Nohejl—51060R. Urbaniec—1112113
WAug 5 · 15:30V. Nohejl—11115113R. Urbaniec—651151
LJul 10 · 18:00V. Nohejl—1081171R. Urbaniec—12116113
LMay 28 · 15:00V. Nohejl—11114882R. Urbaniec—851111113
LMay 26 · 20:30V. Nohejl—118111062R. Urbaniec—811812113
LApr 15 · 15:30V. Nohejl—51160R. Urbaniec—1113113
WMar 19 · 15:00V. Nohejl—31111113R. Urbaniec—117881
WJan 29 · 14:30V. Nohejl—13111115103R. Urbaniec—151371362
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551LSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482WSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113LSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.82791681O. Kolisnyk1.88111114113WSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.4582120R. Urbaniec2.601111143LSep 9 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.831011761M. Jezek1.7812711113WSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172
Upcoming Matches
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