TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099095
Played Sep 10Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911116911––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 64.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 0–3 Mark Robin Wagner Radim Urbaniec has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Wagner
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1725 vs Wagner 1732
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Wagner 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Wagner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Wagner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.38 / Wagner 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Wagner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099095
Urbaniec2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 469
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 144
Wagner1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 52 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUrbaniec0wins
AwayWagner3wins
Wagner leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec1Wagner2n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S2Urbaniec0Wagner3n = 3Wagner took 3 of 3
S3Urbaniec1Wagner2n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricUrbaniecWagnerU − WBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match29.338.0−8.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 1212 vs 87 / 15550.9%56.1%617 / 1212 vs 87 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerUrbaniec 2.38/Wagner 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec—691191M. Wagner—11116113
LAug 30 · 15:30R. Urbaniec—119581M. Wagner—81111113
LAug 30 · 11:00R. Urbaniec—46100M. Wagner—1111123
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551LSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482WSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113LSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.82791681O. Kolisnyk1.88111114113WSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.4582120R. Urbaniec2.601111143LSep 9 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.831011761M. Jezek1.7812711113WSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172WSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113
M. Wagner10
WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
M. Wagner
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