TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099207
Played Sep 9Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012116511––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:06What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1731 vs Ruzicka 1745
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 60% vs Ruzicka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 40% vs Ruzicka 60%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +1 · Ruzicka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 2.00 / Ruzicka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ruzicka)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099207
Wagner2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 32 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Ruzicka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 184 of 325
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it75% 132 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 152 vs 669 / 138455.9%48.3%85 / 152 vs 669 / 1384Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaWagner 2.00/Ruzicka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Wagner10
WSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 9 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.9013970J. Ruzicka1.801511113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Jezek1.915260J. Ruzicka1.801111113WSep 9 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk2.206111191J. Ruzicka1.6111913113LSep 8 · 13:30F. Pusch1.801111113J. Ruzicka1.804870LSep 8 · 12:00J. Ruzicka1.73117811122F. Pusch2.00611116143WSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Ruzicka1.44911114113R. Urbaniec2.6311671172LSep 8 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.7351111262F. Pusch2.00117811113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Klimenta1.801311941J. Ruzicka1.91111311113WSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch2.009070J. Ruzicka1.731111113
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