TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099194
Played Sep 10Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118511119119
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 1–0 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1710 vs Svacha 1676
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 40% vs Svacha 20%
Wagner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 40% vs Svacha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -1 · Svacha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.80 / Svacha 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099194
Wagner1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 52 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Svacha1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 87 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back34% 25 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWagner1wins
AwaySvacha0wins
Wagner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWagnerSvachaW − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.039.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 153 vs 391 / 77755.6%50.3%85 / 153 vs 391 / 777Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.80/Svacha 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 30 · 12:00M. Wagner—11512123O. Svacha—81110101
M. Wagner10
LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113
O. Svacha10
LSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113LSep 9 · 23:30S. Kasnik2.35101111133O. Svacha1.531299111LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113
Upcoming Matches
M. Wagner
Nothing scheduled
O. Svacha
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