TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13106295
Played Sep 9Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121191191311––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 86 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.6%
86 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 14–22 Ondrej Svacha Sebastian Kasnik has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Svacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-22 in 36
Svacha
Wrong
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1635 vs Svacha 1690
Svacha
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 40% vs Svacha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 60% vs Svacha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik -1 · Svacha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.35 / Svacha 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Svacha)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13106295
Kasnik2.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 124 of 310
Down 0–1, comes back19% 31 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 94
Svacha1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 94 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 72 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik5wins
AwaySvacha5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik83.3%5 of 6
AwaySvacha100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik6Svacha4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Kasnik2Svacha8n = 10Svacha took 8 of 10
S3Kasnik6Svacha4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S4Kasnik1Svacha6n = 7Svacha took 6 of 7
S5Kasnik4Svacha1n = 5Kasnik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikSvachaK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.9−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 1002 vs 391 / 77647.6%50.4%477 / 1002 vs 391 / 776Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaKasnik 2.35/Svacha 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 09:00S. Kasnik—7312101O. Svacha—111110123
LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik—6190O. Svacha—1111113
LMay 12 · 19:30S. Kasnik—1312681O. Svacha—111411113
LApr 23 · 17:00S. Kasnik—97130O. Svacha—1111153
WApr 23 · 15:30S. Kasnik—1112113O. Svacha—81080
WApr 22 · 02:00S. Kasnik—111148113O. Svacha—89111172
LApr 14 · 18:30S. Kasnik—95111172O. Svacha—111197113
WMar 24 · 19:30S. Kasnik—117117113O. Svacha—71191172
WMar 24 · 01:30S. Kasnik—118155113O. Svacha—711131182
WFeb 11 · 24:30S. Kasnik—115116113O. Svacha—41181182
S. Kasnik10
LSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123WSep 8 · 12:58J. Tazler2.1096100S. Kasnik1.671111123LSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132WSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581WSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113WSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101
O. Svacha10
LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132
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