TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104263
Played Sep 9Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7119111614811––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 87 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 60.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 21–17 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Urbaniec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-17 in 38
Urbaniec
Wrong
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1727 vs Kolisnyk 1717
Urbaniec
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Kolisnyk 40%
Urbaniec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 60% vs Kolisnyk 20%
Urbaniec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Kolisnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.82 / Kolisnyk 1.88
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+4.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104263
Urbaniec1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 203 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it92% 100 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it77% 137 of 179
Kolisnyk1.88
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec6wins
AwayKolisnyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%3 of 3
AwayKolisnyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec6Kolisnyk4n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S4Urbaniec6Kolisnyk2n = 8Urbaniec took 6 of 8
S5Urbaniec2Kolisnyk1n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecKolisnykU − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.5−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime615 / 1206 vs 549 / 108651%50.6%615 / 1206 vs 549 / 1086Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykUrbaniec 1.82/Kolisnyk 1.88
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 06:00R. Urbaniec—4121161O. Kolisnyk—11149113
WAug 28 · 21:28R. Urbaniec—81111113O. Kolisnyk—113771
WAug 28 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—11911113O. Kolisnyk—811881
WAug 15 · 06:00R. Urbaniec—1181110113O. Kolisnyk—81181282
WAug 8 · 13:00R. Urbaniec—111011113O. Kolisnyk—9127101
WAug 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec—41311133O. Kolisnyk—11118111
LAug 7 · 06:00R. Urbaniec—8570O. Kolisnyk—1111113
LAug 6 · 10:30R. Urbaniec—54120O. Kolisnyk—1111143
LJul 17 · 12:30R. Urbaniec—51181122O. Kolisnyk—114119113
WJul 17 · 07:00R. Urbaniec—811911113O. Kolisnyk—11711522
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.4582120R. Urbaniec2.601111143LSep 9 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.831011761M. Jezek1.7812711113WSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172WSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.0041191272F. Pusch1.731161110113LSep 8 · 10:00J. Ruzicka1.44911114113R. Urbaniec2.6311671172WSep 8 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.5061111113M. Klimenta1.50118971LSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch2.001111113R. Urbaniec1.737560WSep 8 · 07:30R. Urbaniec4.00111110113M. Klimenta1.22791241WSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.4091181172R. Urbaniec2.75119115113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek1.731212841O. Kolisnyk2.00101411113LSep 9 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk2.206111191J. Ruzicka1.6111913113WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182
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O. Kolisnyk1 of 4 neutral
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