TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099150
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Jezek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12101214811411––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Jezek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Jezek above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 82 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Michal Jezek at 54.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jezek 19–12 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jezek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Jezek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jezek 1807 vs Kolisnyk 1702
Jezek
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jezek 80% vs Kolisnyk 20%
Jezek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jezek 70% vs Kolisnyk 20%
Jezek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jezek +2 · Kolisnyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jezek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJezek 1.73 / Kolisnyk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jezek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099150
Jezek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 20 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Kolisnyk2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJezek7wins
AwayKolisnyk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJezek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJezek85.7%6 of 7
AwayKolisnyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jezek7Kolisnyk3n = 10Jezek took 7 of 10
S2Jezek7Kolisnyk3n = 10Jezek took 7 of 10
S3Jezek4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S4Jezek7Kolisnyk3n = 10Jezek took 7 of 10
S5Jezek1Kolisnyk2n = 3Kolisnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJezekKolisnykJ − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.737.5+4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJezekKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 351 vs 548 / 108550.7%50.5%178 / 351 vs 548 / 1085Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JezekJezek 1.73/Kolisnyk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Jezek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 14:00M. Jezek—13116113O. Kolisnyk—1191111
WJun 17 · 15:30M. Jezek—11136113O. Kolisnyk—4111171
LMar 17 · 15:00M. Jezek—61111772O. Kolisnyk—116311113
LMar 5 · 15:00M. Jezek—11771182O. Kolisnyk—911116113
WFeb 6 · 15:00M. Jezek—119119103O. Kolisnyk—91141182
WFeb 3 · 17:00M. Jezek—11118123O. Kolisnyk—2811101
LDec 6 · 13:30M. Jezek—1011891O. Kolisnyk—12411113
WNov 26 · 15:00M. Jezek—13911113O. Kolisnyk—1111951
WNov 25 · 17:52M. Jezek—11112113O. Kolisnyk—891171
WNov 25 · 16:00M. Jezek—41411113O. Kolisnyk—1112771
M. Jezek10
WSep 9 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.831011761M. Jezek1.7812711113WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082LSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770
O. Kolisnyk10
LSep 9 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk2.206111191J. Ruzicka1.6111913113WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122
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