TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104953
Played Sep 10Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116115105––
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:45 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 70.4%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 1–10 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Ondrej Svacha has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Nohejl
Wrong
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1650 vs Nohejl 1794
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 0% vs Nohejl 80%
Nohejl
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 30% vs Nohejl 70%
Nohejl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -5 · Nohejl +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 3.00 / Nohejl 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104953
Svacha3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 87 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back33% 25 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Nohejl1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha1wins
AwayNohejl9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha0%0 of 3
AwayNohejl85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha3Nohejl7n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S2Svacha3Nohejl7n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S3Svacha1Nohejl9n = 10Nohejl took 9 of 10
S4Svacha3Nohejl3n = 6split evenly
S5Svacha1Nohejl3n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaNohejlS − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.840.2−6.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 779 vs 172 / 31250.2%55.1%391 / 779 vs 172 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlSvacha 3.00/Nohejl 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha—11871192V. Nohejl—611115113
LSep 1 · 21:30O. Svacha—3790V. Nohejl—1111113
LSep 1 · 18:00O. Svacha—911581V. Nohejl—11811113
LAug 25 · 16:00O. Svacha—511761V. Nohejl—11511113
LJul 7 · 21:30O. Svacha—7980V. Nohejl—1111113
LJul 7 · 20:30O. Svacha—119101192V. Nohejl—911129113
LJul 5 · 13:30O. Svacha—9730V. Nohejl—1111113
WJul 5 · 12:00O. Svacha—8111011113V. Nohejl—11912642
LApr 23 · 14:00O. Svacha—93110V. Nohejl—1111133
LApr 15 · 17:00O. Svacha—121011562V. Nohejl—1012711113
O. Svacha10
LSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661LSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113LSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:30S. Kasnik2.35101111133O. Svacha1.531299111LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370
V. Nohejl10
WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790
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