TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12459851
Played Aug 19Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116311811811––
Vojtech Svechota
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Vojtech Svechota below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 57.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 5–6 Vojtech Svechota Jiri Louda has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1719 vs Svechota 1709
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 60% vs Svechota 20%
Louda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 70% vs Svechota 20%
Louda
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Svechota -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svechota form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 2.10 / Svechota 1.65
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Louda)+10.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12459851
Louda2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 69 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 51
Svechota1.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it83% 59 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda4wins
AwaySvechota6wins
Svechota leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda66.7%4 of 6
AwaySvechota100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda6Svechota4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Louda3Svechota7n = 10Svechota took 7 of 10
S3Louda4Svechota6n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S4Louda3Svechota4n = 7Svechota took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaSvechotaL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.8−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaSvechotaBasisWin rate · lifetime615 / 1207 vs 188 / 32351%58.2%615 / 1207 vs 188 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 2.10/Svechota 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 17 · 06:00J. Louda—81580V. Svechota—1117113
WMar 30 · 06:00J. Louda—12513113V. Svechota—10111151
LMar 23 · 19:00J. Louda—119941V. Svechota—91111113
LMar 3 · 07:30J. Louda—95100V. Svechota—1111123
WFeb 22 · 12:00J. Louda—1211113V. Svechota—10990
WFeb 6 · 21:30J. Louda—14117113V. Svechota—1291191
LJan 11 · 16:00J. Louda—91110181V. Svechota—11512203
LJan 10 · 02:00J. Louda—8121171V. Svechota—11145113
WJan 2 · 12:30J. Louda—13911113V. Svechota—1111971
LNov 7 · 17:30J. Louda—115641V. Svechota—71111113
J. Louda10
LSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113WSep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38561251J. Louda1.53111110113LSep 11 · 24:30J. Louda1.73311761M. Regner2.0011511113LSep 10 · 23:00J. Louda1.67111110992S. Kasnik2.10841211113WSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113WSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051WSep 9 · 20:30J. Louda1.5313911113M. Sychra2.381111691LSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota1.61116130J. Ruzicka2.201311153WAug 19 · 23:00M. Pikous2.758970V. Svechota1.401111113WAug 19 · 21:28V. Svechota1.5061111113J. Louda2.50119841WAug 19 · 20:30V. Svechota1.611211166113V. Nohejl2.20147141172WAug 19 · 19:00V. Svechota1.5761111113V. Kolar2.25118941
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