TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455640
Played Aug 20Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10126111412118119
Vojtech Svechota
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Svechota to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Vojtech Svechota below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vojtech Svechota at 70.3%
104 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 4–12 Vojtech Svechota Radim Urbaniec has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Svechota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Svechota
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1673 vs Svechota 1742
Svechota
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Svechota 80%
Svechota
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 50% vs Svechota 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Svechota -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Svechota) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 3.00 / Svechota 1.36
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Svechota)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12455640
Urbaniec3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 195 of 475
Down 0–1, comes back21% 54 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 142
Svechota1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it83% 59 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwaySvechota8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSvechota leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniecn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySvechota87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec2Svechota8n = 10Svechota took 8 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Svechota6n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec3Svechota7n = 10Svechota took 7 of 10
S4Urbaniec1Svechota7n = 8Svechota took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecSvechotaU − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.140.1−10.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecSvechotaBasisWin rate · lifetime583 / 1141 vs 193 / 32951.1%58.7%583 / 1141 vs 193 / 329Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaUrbaniec 3.00/Svechota 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.8%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 12 · 13:29R. Urbaniec—311711113V. Svechota—11711692
LJul 12 · 12:30R. Urbaniec—2950V. Svechota—1111113
LJul 7 · 24:30R. Urbaniec—911841V. Svechota—11411113
LJun 19 · 11:30R. Urbaniec—411271V. Svechota—11711113
LJun 19 · 07:00R. Urbaniec—381551V. Svechota—111113113
LMay 25 · 23:30R. Urbaniec—7580V. Svechota—1111113
WMay 16 · 23:00R. Urbaniec—1111810113V. Svechota—76111272
LApr 15 · 17:30R. Urbaniec—721161V. Svechota—11119113
LApr 15 · 14:30R. Urbaniec—941131V. Svechota—11118113
LApr 15 · 11:00R. Urbaniec—114791V. Svechota—91111113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581LSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551LSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota1.61116130J. Ruzicka2.201311153WAug 19 · 23:00M. Pikous2.758970V. Svechota1.401111113WAug 19 · 21:28V. Svechota1.5061111113J. Louda2.50119841WAug 19 · 20:30V. Svechota1.611211166113V. Nohejl2.20147141172WAug 19 · 19:00V. Svechota1.5761111113V. Kolar2.25118941WAug 19 · 18:00J. Louda2.10113881V. Svechota1.6561111113
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