TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455646
Played Aug 19Finished
Vojtech Svechota
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611118119114––
Vlastimil Kolar
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Svechota to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Svechota above · Vlastimil Kolar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Vojtech Svechota at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Svechota 2–1 Vlastimil Kolar Vlastimil Kolar has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svechota 1720 vs Kolar 1649
Svechota
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svechota 40% vs Kolar 0%
Svechota
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svechota 30% vs Kolar 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svechota +1 · Kolar -5
Kolar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svechota)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolar form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvechota 1.57 / Kolar 2.25
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svechota)-4.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12455646
Svechota1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it83% 59 of 71
Kolar2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog47% won 42 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvechota2wins
AwayKolar1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSvechota leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svechota1Kolar2n = 3Kolar took 2 of 3
S2Svechota1Kolar2n = 3Kolar took 2 of 3
S3Svechota2Kolar1n = 3Svechota took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvechotaKolarS − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.040.0+3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvechotaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 324 vs 83 / 15758.3%52.9%189 / 324 vs 83 / 157Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaSvechota 1.57/Kolar 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 21 · 14:30V. Svechota—813119113V. Kolar—111171182
LJul 21 · 12:58V. Svechota—11890V. Kolar—1311113
WJul 21 · 11:00V. Svechota—116119123V. Kolar—311211102
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota1.61116130J. Ruzicka2.201311153WAug 19 · 23:00M. Pikous2.758970V. Svechota1.401111113WAug 19 · 21:28V. Svechota1.5061111113J. Louda2.50119841WAug 19 · 20:30V. Svechota1.611211166113V. Nohejl2.20147141172WAug 19 · 18:00J. Louda2.10113881V. Svechota1.6561111113
V. Kolar10
WSep 3 · 20:58J. Louda1.678750V. Kolar2.101111113LSep 3 · 20:30J. Louda1.8011711113V. Kolar1.91611761LSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113LSep 3 · 18:30M. Sychra2.003111014113V. Kolar1.73118121272LSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370LSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192LSep 1 · 21:00M. Sychra2.201011511113V. Kolar1.6112911492LSep 1 · 20:30O. Svacha1.911111113V. Kolar1.805990
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.