TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104514
Played Sep 10Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210711711116117
Ondrej Svacha
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 30–30 Ondrej Svacha Dead even across their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-30 in 60
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1751 vs Svacha 1666
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Svacha 20%
Urbaniec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 50% vs Svacha 30%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Svacha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.73 / Svacha 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104514
Urbaniec1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 205 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it92% 101 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it77% 138 of 180
Svacha2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 87 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back33% 25 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec6wins
AwaySvacha4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%4 of 4
AwaySvacha66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec4Svacha6n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S2Urbaniec8Svacha2n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S3Urbaniec5Svacha5n = 10split evenly
S4Urbaniec4Svacha2n = 6Urbaniec took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecSvachaU − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.2+1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime619 / 1215 vs 391 / 77951%50.2%619 / 1215 vs 391 / 779Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.73/Svacha 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 22:30R. Urbaniec—1111113O. Svacha—8750
LAug 30 · 13:02R. Urbaniec—7811111O. Svacha—11116133
WAug 30 · 10:00R. Urbaniec—1111113O. Svacha—6960
WAug 28 · 02:00R. Urbaniec—131113133O. Svacha—15511111
WAug 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec—11128133O. Svacha—41011111
WAug 17 · 20:30R. Urbaniec—812211113O. Svacha—111011592
WAug 16 · 24:00R. Urbaniec—1111113O. Svacha—6860
LAug 15 · 09:00R. Urbaniec—1530O. Svacha—1111113
LAug 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec—41131392O. Svacha—1141111113
LAug 14 · 21:30R. Urbaniec—9114101O. Svacha—11111123
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581LSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551LSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482WSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113LSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.82791681O. Kolisnyk1.88111114113WSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.4582120R. Urbaniec2.601111143
O. Svacha10
LSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113WSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551LSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661LSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113LSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:30S. Kasnik2.35101111133O. Svacha1.531299111LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Svacha
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