TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120899
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Kos
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151161214117––
Michal Zahradka
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kos above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Kos at 75.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kos 2–1 Michal Zahradka Michal Zahradka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 2039 vs Zahradka 1864
Kos
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 80% vs Zahradka 60%
Kos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 80% vs Zahradka 50%
Kos
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +4 · Zahradka -2
Kos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.30 / Zahradka 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kos)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120899
Kos1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Zahradka3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKos2wins
AwayZahradka1wins
Kos leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos1Zahradka2n = 3Zahradka took 2 of 3
S2Kos3Zahradka0n = 3Kos took 3 of 3
S3Kos2Zahradka1n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosZahradkaK − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.732.3+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 186 vs 439 / 90149.5%48.7%92 / 186 vs 439 / 901Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.30/Zahradka 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 20 · 10:30T. Kos371114123M. Zahradka26412100
WApr 7 · 12:30T. Kos43101111113M. Zahradka30127471
LJan 2 · 13:30T. Kos398111191M. Zahradka4111613113
T. Kos10
WSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153LSep 12 · 10:30T. Kos1.61111280E. Mares2.201314113WSep 12 · 09:30T. Kos1.6181111123E. Mares2.201164101LSep 12 · 08:30M. Huk3.25136711113T. Kos1.33111111962WSep 12 · 07:30T. Kos1.7311111113E. Mares2.00571181WSep 12 · 06:30L. Jindrak1.806990T. Kos1.911111113WAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980
M. Zahradka10
LSep 13 · 14:00M. Zahradka2.10811121192L. Zeman1.67117149113LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680WSep 8 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.571310671M. Zahradka2.25111211113LSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100WSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:30E. Mares1.2511119113M. Zahradka3.75841151LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka1.83716111182T. Postelt1.83111878113
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