TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120211
Played Sep 14Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111151141012113
Pavel Fojt
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 86 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 61.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 49–11 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 11 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-11 in 60
Prokupek
Correct
gap of 38 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1486 vs Fojt 1453
Prokupek
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 20% vs Fojt 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 30% vs Fojt 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -4 · Fojt -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.53 / Fojt 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Prokupek)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120211
Prokupek1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 98 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it72% 72 of 100
Fojt2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 59 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek7wins
AwayFojt3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek83.3%5 of 6
AwayFojt50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek6Fojt4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Prokupek7Fojt3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek6Fojt4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek4Fojt3n = 7Prokupek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekFojtP − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.532.9+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime654 / 1377 vs 351 / 72047.5%48.8%654 / 1377 vs 351 / 720Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.53/Fojt 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 02:00J. Prokupek3911511752P. Fojt51911911113
WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek3631111113P. Fojt27116461
WAug 21 · 03:00J. Prokupek341112113P. Fojt2351080
WAug 21 · 01:00J. Prokupek4311119123P. Fojt316411101
LAug 17 · 24:30J. Prokupek177370P. Fojt331111113
LJul 15 · 02:00J. Prokupek348101151P. Fojt3911125113
WJul 12 · 22:30J. Prokupek4291111113P. Fojt26116361
WJul 9 · 24:30J. Prokupek361111143P. Fojt2035120
WJul 8 · 03:00J. Prokupek4011117113P. Fojt25651131
WJul 8 · 01:30J. Prokupek541311514113P. Fojt54117111692
J. Prokupek10
LSep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911186101V. Postelt1.8051111123LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951LSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113
P. Fojt10
LSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151LSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113LSep 12 · 21:30F. Jungman1.44119911113P. Fojt2.6391111592LSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.