TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110797
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191214911511––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 82 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 99–116 Jiri Plachy Jaroslav Prokupek has won 99 of their 215 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:53What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
99-116 in 215
Plachy
Correct
gap of 17 in 215, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1561 vs Plachy 1441
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Plachy 0%
Prokupek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 60% vs Plachy 30%
Prokupek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +2 · Plachy -5
Plachy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.91 / Plachy 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plachy)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110797
Prokupek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 107 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Plachy1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 145 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it86% 104 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek5wins
AwayPlachy5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek100%5 of 5
AwayPlachy100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S2Prokupek3Plachy7n = 10Plachy took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek7Plachy3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S4Prokupek4Plachy3n = 7Prokupek took 4 of 7
S5Prokupek1Plachy2n = 3Plachy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekPlachyProkupek − PlachyBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.339.3−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime652 / 1368 vs 740 / 160247.7%46.2%652 / 1368 vs 740 / 1602Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyProkupek 1.91/Plachy 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 19:30J. Prokupek—11712123J. Plachy—91110101
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Prokupek—1111113J. Plachy—7880
LSep 6 · 02:00J. Prokupek—6750J. Plachy—1111113
WSep 4 · 02:00J. Prokupek—118118113J. Plachy—61191192
LSep 3 · 11:30J. Prokupek—4750J. Plachy—1111113
LSep 2 · 06:30J. Prokupek—85121252J. Plachy—11111010113
WAug 27 · 13:30J. Prokupek—111011113J. Plachy—712971
LAug 27 · 12:00J. Prokupek—61114792J. Plachy—1171211113
LAug 26 · 02:00J. Prokupek—361141J. Plachy—11119113
WAug 23 · 23:00J. Prokupek—13114113J. Plachy—1161181
J. Prokupek10
WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113WSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123WSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182
J. Plachy10
LSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111LSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123LSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051WSep 8 · 17:30J. Plachy2.101111113J. Trefny1.678750LSep 8 · 16:30J. Trefny1.5391111113J. Plachy2.38117681WSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa1.9141181182J. Plachy1.80113118113
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