TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104984
Played Sep 10Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611116511116611
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 84 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 57.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 11–9 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Prokupek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1529 vs Holovatiuk 1461
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Holovatiuk 20%
Prokupek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 60% vs Holovatiuk 30%
Prokupek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +1 · Holovatiuk -3
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.67 / Holovatiuk 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prokupek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13104984
Prokupek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 116 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it88% 67 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it72% 88 of 122
Holovatiuk2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek7wins
AwayHolovatiuk3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek77.8%7 of 9
AwayHolovatiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek9Holovatiuk1n = 10Prokupek took 9 of 10
S2Prokupek8Holovatiuk2n = 10Prokupek took 8 of 10
S3Prokupek6Holovatiuk4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek1Holovatiuk5n = 6Holovatiuk took 5 of 6
S5Prokupek3Holovatiuk3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekHolovatiukP − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match43.435.4+8.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1363 vs 337 / 67847.6%49.7%649 / 1363 vs 337 / 678Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.67/Holovatiuk 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 22 · 22:00J. Prokupek—111298113Y. Holovatiuk—510111162
LMar 22 · 19:30J. Prokupek—1131110102Y. Holovatiuk—811612123
WMar 18 · 19:30J. Prokupek—1112113Y. Holovatiuk—51070
WMar 15 · 13:30J. Prokupek—1111913113Y. Holovatiuk—99111532
LMar 8 · 16:00J. Prokupek—119118102Y. Holovatiuk—511611123
WFeb 7 · 12:00J. Prokupek—1411123Y. Holovatiuk—123100
WJan 5 · 19:00J. Prokupek—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—5660
WDec 27 · 22:30J. Prokupek—111198113Y. Holovatiuk—73111192
LDec 27 · 21:30J. Prokupek—71191192Y. Holovatiuk—117117113
WDec 25 · 16:30J. Prokupek—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—6840
J. Prokupek10
WSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123WSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140WSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113J. Trefny1.614320WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113
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