Yurii Holovatiuk vs Jan Varcl Jnr 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13100898

Played Sep 8Finished

Yurii Holovatiuk

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

411911811––––

Jan Varcl Jnr

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jan Varcl Jnr below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 54 set 3, 8-11

54 points played in total.

H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 2–9 Jan Varcl Jnr Yurii Holovatiuk has won 2 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Holovatiuk beat Jnr 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holovatiuk)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.83 / Jnr 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Holovatiuk)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13100898

Holovatiuk1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Jnr1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHolovatiuk2wins

AwayJnr8wins

5 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHolovatiuk33.3%2 of 6

AwayJnr100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Holovatiuk6Jnr4n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10

S2Holovatiuk5Jnr5n = 10split evenly

S3Holovatiuk3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10

S4Holovatiuk3Jnr6n = 9Jnr took 6 of 9

S5Holovatiuk1Jnr4n = 5Jnr took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricHolovatiukJnrH − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.2−1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHolovatiukJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 676 vs 121 / 23749.9%51.1%337 / 676 vs 121 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Holovatiuk

Holovatiuk 1.83/Jnr 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Jnr won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 8 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—1111113J. Jnr—4160

LSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk—811116142J. Jnr—116411163

LAug 13 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk—114971J. Jnr—91111113

LAug 11 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk—911971J. Jnr—11511113

LJan 19 · 22:01Y. Holovatiuk—127511102J. Jnr—1011119123

LJan 19 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk—114951J. Jnr—81111113

WAug 28 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—111177113J. Jnr—68111132

LAug 27 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk—11591152J. Jnr—511115113

LAug 27 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—371161J. Jnr—11118113

LJun 18 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—811101192J. Jnr—118124113

Y. Holovatiuk10

LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570 WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113 LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113 LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113 LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113 LSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250 WSep 8 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113J. Trefny1.614320 WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113 LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161 WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113

J. Jnr10

LSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113 LSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113 WSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113 LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113 LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr2.2081181242D. Parhomenko1.611151110113 LSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932 LSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960 WSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102 WSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.10811116142J. Jnr1.67116411163 LSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161

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